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Table 2 Partial parameter settings and MSLE error results

From: Exploring the influence of human mobility factors and spread prediction on early COVID-19 in the USA

  β0 τβ γ δ Active MSLE Recovered MSLE Deaths MSLE
USA 0.2965
(0.2952, 02978)
18.2532
(18.1289, 18.3776)
0.0085
(0.0083, 0.0088)
0.0014
(0.0012, 0.0016)
0.0145 0.0716 0.5293
CA 0.1408
(0.1378, 0.1438)
52.4868
(51.1321, 53.8414)
0.0135
(0.0128, 0.0143)
0.0021
(0.0015, 0.0027)
0.4805 1.0055 0.8436
FL 0.1457
(0.1369, 0.1404)
45.5202
(44.0674, 46.973)
0.0000
(0.0000, 0.0005)
0.0006
(0.0000, 0.0011)
1.3653 12.1147 3.9553
NY 0.1450
(0.1377, 0.1523)
18.0593
(17.6187, 18.4999)
0.0013
(0.0012, 0.0013)
0.0008
(0.0007, 0.0008)
0.0002 0.0024 0.0291
TX 0.2252
(0.2236, 0.2269)
38.2234
(37.2958, 39,151)
0.0022
(0.0017, 0.0028)
0.0469
(0.0457, 0.0481)
0.3292 0.5997 0.7387
NJ 0.3336
(0.3278, 0.3394)
16.5512
(16.0440, 17.058)
0.0010
(0.0007, 0.0012)
0.0022
(0.0019, 0.0024)
0.1107 0.8469 0.5487
IL 0.2649
(0.2622, 0.2660)
22.8471
(22.5580, 23.1362)
0.0009
(0.0008, 0.0010)
0.0646 1.1597
GA 0.1576
(0.1549, 0.1602)
41.2431
(40.1865, 42.2998)
0.0012
(0.0006, 0.0019)
0.0020
(0.0014, 0.0027)
0.8875 2.9482 1.9281
AZ 0.2092
(0.2082, 0.2103)
18.1688
(18.0336, 18.3040)
0.0008
(0.0006, 0.0010)
0.0001
(0.0000, 0.0002)
0.1260 1.1917 0.8466
MA 0.2332
(0.2325, 0.2340)
18.2453
(18.1355, 18.3550)
0.0013
(0.0013, 0.0014)
0.0118 0.4421
PA 0.2976
(0.2964, 0.2987)
15.4270
(15.3304, 15.5235)
0.0003
(0.0002, 0.0004)
0.0013
(0.0012, 0.0015)
0.0053 1.0329 0.3800