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Table 4 The effects of decreasing r1, r2, r3 and rh on the cumulative numbers of confirmed cases and cumulative numbers of deaths on 27 March 2020 in China and South Korea

From: Effects of medical resource capacities and intensities of public mitigation measures on outcomes of COVID-19 outbreaks

Cases

The cumulative number of confirmed cases

The cumulative number of deaths

China

South Korea

China

South Korea

Case C1

8.256×104

9477

3329

170

Case C2

1.0426×105(+ 26.3%)

10,693 (+ 12.8%)

5175 (+ 55.4%)

190 (+ 11.8%)

Case C3

1.3881×105(+ 68.1%)

12,401 (+ 30.9%)

8618 (+ 158.8%)

217 (27.6%)

Case C4

1.9892×105(+ 141.0%)

14,941 (+ 57.7%)

15,396 (+ 362.4%)

251 (+ 47.6%)

Case C5

3.1711×105(+ 284.1%)

18,962 (+ 100.0%)

30,027 (+ 801.9%)

297 (+ 74.7%)

Case C6

5.9333×105(+ 618.7%)

25,864 (+ 172.9%)

63,657 (+ 1811.9%)

370 (+ 117.6%)

  1. Note that r1, r2, r3, and rh are the estimated values for corresponding countries, and for South Korea r3 = 0 due to its constant diagnosis rate in Case C1. For Cases C2, C3, C4, C5 and C6, the four rates r1, r2, r3, and rh were simultaneously reduced by 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50%, respectively
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