Table 2 Results of segmented regression models for HIV sentinel seroprevalence and annual reported HIV cases among MSM before and after Treat All policy

 β₀ (Baseline)

0.1123

0.0059

<  0.001***

(0.0982, 0.1264)

 β₁ (Structural trend)

0.0087

0.0015

0.001***

(0.0051, 0.0124)

 β₂ (Change in level)

− 0.0005

0.0087

0.959

(− 0.0210, 0.0201)

 β₃ (Change in trend)

− 0.0308

0.0025

<  0.001***

(− 0.0366, − 0.0250)

 β₀ (Baseline)

63.35

37.33

0.133

(−24.92, 151.62)

 β₁ (Structural trend)

116.38

9.68

<  0.001***

(93.48, 139.28)

 β₂ (Change in level)

463.23

54.65

<  0.001***

(334.01, 592.45)

 β₃ (Change in trend)

−158.28

15.47

<  0.001***

(−194.87, −121.69)