Table 2 Choice of parameters in SEIQHRF model
Serial No. | Parameter | Values |
|---|---|---|
1 | Number of per day exposure events between the symptomatic infected and susceptible | 20 (as in both Nizamuddin and Dharavi, the population density was quite high, making social distancing impossible. |
2 | Probability that an infection is passed from infectious to susceptible | 0.03 |
3 | Number of per day exposure events between infectious and susceptible | 40 (as the testing rate was low number of exposures are quite high) |
4 | Probability of infection being passed from asymptomatic to susceptible | 0.01 |
5 | Number of exposures per day between the quarantined and susceptible | 2 |
6 | Probability of the infection passing from quarantined to susceptible | 0.02 |
7 | Rate at which symptomatic, infected enter quarantine per day | 1/5 (as both quarantining and advocating self quarantine started early in india, this rate is somewhat low) |
8 | Transition from infected or quarantined to hospitalized was done with a random sample with a sample fraction | 1/50 (assuming 20% of the symptomatic cases progress to severe or critical disease with an average illness duration of 15 days). |
9 | Available hospital beds for the susceptible who are infected | 40 |
10 | Daily death rate of susceptible | 7.3/1000/365 (based on CDR for India) |
11 | Daily death rate of asymptomatic | 20/1000/365 (as they are probably in early stages of infection) |
12 | Daily death rate of quarantined | 30/1000/365 |
13 | Daily death rate of infected | 30/100/365 (As deaths will occur in the H compartment which denotes the ones needing hospitalization, not necessarily hospitalised as all individuals may not seek care or have access) |
14 | Daily death rate among hospitalised | 80/365/1000. |