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Table 3 Parameter estimates from modeling the mean trend of CVD incidence, mortality, and MIR by development factor between 1990 and 2017

From: Trend analysis of cardiovascular disease mortality, incidence, and mortality-to-incidence ratio: results from global burden of disease study 2017

HDIa level

Index

Parameter

Estimate

SEb

P value

Developing

Incidence

Intercept

904.51

19.50

< 0.001

  

Time

−3.71

0.60

< 0.001

 

Mortality

Intercept

381.14

11.24

< 0.001

  

Time

−2.69

0.41

< 0.001

 

MIR

Intercept

0.42

0.01

< 0.001

  

Time

−0.002

0.0005

< 0.001

Developed

Incidence

Intercept

1282.77

40.40

< 0.001

  

Time

−6.66

1.44

< 0.001

 

Mortality

Intercept

276.58

10.96

< 0.001

  

Time

−2.87

0.54

< 0.001

 

MIR

Intercept

0.22

0.01

< 0.001

  

Time

−0.001

0.0005

0.009

Total World

Incidence

Intercept

903.19

16.74

< 0.001

  

Time

4.31

0.70

< 0.001

  

(Time-6)

−5.84

0.67

< 0.001

 

Mortality

Intercept

370.10

8.35

< 0.001

  

Time

−3.82

0.23

< 0.001

 

MIR

Intercept

0.42

0.009

< 0.001

  

Time

−0.004

0.0003

< 0.001

  1. aHDI Human Development Index. bSE Standard error