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Table 3 Parameter estimates from modeling the mean trend of CVD incidence, mortality, and MIR by development factor between 1990 and 2017

From: Trend analysis of cardiovascular disease mortality, incidence, and mortality-to-incidence ratio: results from global burden of disease study 2017

HDIa level Index Parameter Estimate SEb P value
Developing Incidence Intercept 904.51 19.50 < 0.001
   Time −3.71 0.60 < 0.001
  Mortality Intercept 381.14 11.24 < 0.001
   Time −2.69 0.41 < 0.001
  MIR Intercept 0.42 0.01 < 0.001
   Time −0.002 0.0005 < 0.001
Developed Incidence Intercept 1282.77 40.40 < 0.001
   Time −6.66 1.44 < 0.001
  Mortality Intercept 276.58 10.96 < 0.001
   Time −2.87 0.54 < 0.001
  MIR Intercept 0.22 0.01 < 0.001
   Time −0.001 0.0005 0.009
Total World Incidence Intercept 903.19 16.74 < 0.001
   Time 4.31 0.70 < 0.001
   (Time-6) −5.84 0.67 < 0.001
  Mortality Intercept 370.10 8.35 < 0.001
   Time −3.82 0.23 < 0.001
  MIR Intercept 0.42 0.009 < 0.001
   Time −0.004 0.0003 < 0.001
  1. aHDI Human Development Index. bSE Standard error
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BMC Public Health

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