Table 4 Estimates and standard error of SARIMA(2, 1, 1) × (0, 1, 1)12 model parameters
From: Forecasting the incidence of mumps in Chongqing based on a SARIMA model
Measurements | Model Terms | Estimates | Standard Error | t-Value | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Non-Seasonality | AR1 term | 0.7186 | 0.1107 | 6.29 | P < 0.05 |
AR2 term | −0.2305 | 0.0878 | 2.63 | P < 0.05 | |
MA1 term | −0.8197 | 0.8960 | 9.15 | P < 0.05 | |
Seasonality | Seasonality MA1 | −0.7643 | 0.0694 | 11.01 | P < 0.05 |