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Table 2 Deaths number, crude mortality, premature mortality and change of main NCDs for people aged 30–69 from 2015 to 2030 in Sichuan

From: Death burden of high systolic blood pressure in Sichuan Southwest China 1990–2030

GenderDisease a2015UNbNTbWTbReduction in deaths (in thousands)cChange of mortality rate (%)cChange of premature mortality (%)c
Deaths (thousands)Death rate (per 100,000)Premature mortality (%)Deaths (thousands)Death rate (per 100,000)Premature mortality (%)Deaths (thousands)Death rate (per 100,000)Premature mortality (%)Deaths (thousands)Death rate (per 100,000)Premature mortality (%)UNWTUNWTUNWT
BothNCDs267.1610.223.6231.3468.117.1250.2506.318.3223.1451.616.5−18.9−27.1− 7.5− 10.8− 6.9−9.9
CVD79.0180.57.761.6124.74.979.9161.86.353.7108.74.3−18.3−26.2−22.9−32.8−22.2− 32.0
CKD4.610.60.54.69.40.45.210.50.44.48.80.4−0.6−0.8−11.0−16.0− 11.0− 16.0
MenNCDs177.0803.929.7162.4652.123.2175.7705.724.9156.9630.222.5−13.4−18.8−7.6−10.7−6.7−9.4
CVD50.2228.09.640.8163.96.553.8216.18.435.5142.75.7−13.0−18.3−24.1−34.0−23.2−32.9
CKD2.712.30.52.911.50.53.212.90.52.710.90.4−0.4−0.5−11.1−15.8−11.1−15.9
WomenNCDs90.1414.316.868.9281.210.574.5303.811.366.2270.110.1−5.5−8.3−7.4−11.1−7.0−10.5
CVD28.8132.55.820.884.93.326.1106.54.218.274.22.9−5.3−7.9−20.4−30.4−19.8−29.8
CKD1.98.80.41.87.20.32.08.00.31.76.70.3−0.2−0.3−10.8−16.2−10.8−16.2
  1. aNCDs non-communicable chronic diseases; CVD cardiovascular diseases; CKD chronic kidney disease
  2. bUN Unchanged Scenario; NT Natural trend Scenario; WT Reduced 25% Scenario
  3. c Compared with natural trend scenarios