Skip to main content

Table 2 Deaths number, crude mortality, premature mortality and change of main NCDs for people aged 30–69 from 2015 to 2030 in Sichuan

From: Death burden of high systolic blood pressure in Sichuan Southwest China 1990–2030

Gender

Disease a

2015

UNb

NTb

WTb

Reduction in deaths (in thousands)c

Change of mortality rate (%)c

Change of premature mortality (%)c

Deaths (thousands)

Death rate (per 100,000)

Premature mortality (%)

Deaths (thousands)

Death rate (per 100,000)

Premature mortality (%)

Deaths (thousands)

Death rate (per 100,000)

Premature mortality (%)

Deaths (thousands)

Death rate (per 100,000)

Premature mortality (%)

UN

WT

UN

WT

UN

WT

Both

NCDs

267.1

610.2

23.6

231.3

468.1

17.1

250.2

506.3

18.3

223.1

451.6

16.5

−18.9

−27.1

− 7.5

− 10.8

− 6.9

−9.9

CVD

79.0

180.5

7.7

61.6

124.7

4.9

79.9

161.8

6.3

53.7

108.7

4.3

−18.3

−26.2

−22.9

−32.8

−22.2

− 32.0

CKD

4.6

10.6

0.5

4.6

9.4

0.4

5.2

10.5

0.4

4.4

8.8

0.4

−0.6

−0.8

−11.0

−16.0

− 11.0

− 16.0

Men

NCDs

177.0

803.9

29.7

162.4

652.1

23.2

175.7

705.7

24.9

156.9

630.2

22.5

−13.4

−18.8

−7.6

−10.7

−6.7

−9.4

CVD

50.2

228.0

9.6

40.8

163.9

6.5

53.8

216.1

8.4

35.5

142.7

5.7

−13.0

−18.3

−24.1

−34.0

−23.2

−32.9

CKD

2.7

12.3

0.5

2.9

11.5

0.5

3.2

12.9

0.5

2.7

10.9

0.4

−0.4

−0.5

−11.1

−15.8

−11.1

−15.9

Women

NCDs

90.1

414.3

16.8

68.9

281.2

10.5

74.5

303.8

11.3

66.2

270.1

10.1

−5.5

−8.3

−7.4

−11.1

−7.0

−10.5

CVD

28.8

132.5

5.8

20.8

84.9

3.3

26.1

106.5

4.2

18.2

74.2

2.9

−5.3

−7.9

−20.4

−30.4

−19.8

−29.8

CKD

1.9

8.8

0.4

1.8

7.2

0.3

2.0

8.0

0.3

1.7

6.7

0.3

−0.2

−0.3

−10.8

−16.2

−10.8

−16.2

  1. aNCDs non-communicable chronic diseases; CVD cardiovascular diseases; CKD chronic kidney disease
  2. bUN Unchanged Scenario; NT Natural trend Scenario; WT Reduced 25% Scenario
  3. c Compared with natural trend scenarios