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Table 5 Variables used in model

From: Cost utility analysis of HIV pre exposure prophylaxis among men who have sex with men in Israel

 

Source(s) and numbered text References

Intervention Costs

 PrEP daily first year

24,143

NIS

[57], b

 PrEP daily subsequent years

23,565

NIS

[57], b

 Current discount on PrEP cost

10%

 

Assumed

 Reduction for “PrEP on demand”

40.1%

NIS

[28, 29]

 Monitoring PrEP first year

4237

NIS

a,b

 Monitoring PrEP subsequent years

3659

NIS

a,b

 Monitoring PrEP first year

1810

NIS

b

 Monitoring PrEP subsequent years

1312

NIS

b

 Employment Losses - first year

1505

NIS

[37, 39], a

 Employment Losses - subsequent years

1120

NIS

[37, 39],a

Treatment Costs

 HIV Treatment Costs

94,759

NIS

d

 monitoring NON_HAART -first year

5693

NIS

a

 monitoring-NON HAART- subsequent years

12,845

NIS

a

Disability Weights

 HIV negative (at age 36 years)

0.09

 

[39, 58, 59]

 HIV positive with HAART Rx

0.14

 

[18]

 HIV no HAART Rx

0.20

 

[18]

 AIDS with HAART Rx

0.15

 

[17, 19]

 AIDS no HAART Rx

0.29

 

[20, 21]

Epidemiology

 Excess Hospitalization Days per HIV case

1.74

per year

[39], e

 HIV incidence rate trend among MSM (2011–2017)

−5.20%

per year

f

 HIV to AIDS progression with HAART

0.08

per year

[23, 24]

 HIV to AIDS progression without HAART

0.33

per year

[23, 24]

 HAART efficacy in Israel

47.8%

 

1

 % HIV+ taking HAART

81.8%

 

f

 % HIV+ of high risk group who will take HAART

81.8%

 

f

 % of persons who were not taking HAART who start taking when they get AIDS

90%

 

f

Mortality Rates (%) per year

 HIV+ with ART- 40 yrs

0.007

 

[23, 26, 27]

 HIV+ with ART- 50 yrs

0.013

 

[23, 26, 27]

 HIV+ without ART- 40 yrs

0.040

 

[23, 28, 29]

 HIV+ without ART- 50 yrs

0.073

 

[23, 28, 29]

 AIDS+ with ART- 40 yrs

0.060

 

[23, 24, 26, 27]

 AIDS+ with ART- 50 yrs

0.067

 

[23, 24, 26, 27]

 AIDS+ without ART- 40 yrs

0.524

 

[23, 24, 28]

 AIDS+ without ART- 50 yrs

0.587

 

[23, 24, 28]

PreP efficacy

 Baseline RCT

86.0%

 

[4, 5]

 sensitivity analysis

78.5%

 

[2, 4, 5]

 sensitivity lower 90%

56.3%

 

[2, 4, 5]

 sensitivity upper 90%

90.0%

 

[2, 4, 5]

 open label trial

97.1%

 

[10]

 Coverage

100%

 

Assumed

 % of UAI MSM starting PrEP

80%

 

[47]

 % of non-UAI MSM starting PrEP

25%

 

Assumed

 % ofnon-UAI MSM PrEP who cease condom use

75%

 

Assumption

 Protection from condom use

80%

 

[32, 33]

 Transmission risk with condom

1.6%

per act

[32, 33]

 Transmission risk without condom

8.0%

per act

[32, 33]

 HIV cases per 100,000 high risk MSM

421.8

 

f

 HIV cases per 100,000 non-high risk MSM

84.4

 

f

Demographic

 Average age at HIV diagnosis

36.0

Years

f

 Life expectancy at age of HIV diagnosis.

45.6

Years

[39]

 Male population aged 18–69 (2018)

2,478,600

 

[39]

 MSM prevalence

3%

 

[8]

 MSM aged 18–69

78,013

 

[8, 39]

 Background Mortality - age-related eg: 40 yrs

0.001064

 

[39]

 Background Mortality - age-related eg: 50 yrs

0.002894

 

[39]

Economic

 Discount Rate

3%

per annum

[60]

 Average Employment Cost

165,592

NIS per annum

[37, 39]

 Exchange Rate

3.595

USD to NIS

[42]

 % makes 18–69 unemployed

7.1%

 

[39]

 Work losses due to PrEP monitoring yr 1

1505

 

[39]

 Work losses due to PrEP monitoring yr 2+

1120

 

[39]

 Productivity losses due to HIV

23%

 

[38]

 % participating in labour force (age-related)

67–77%

 

[37, 39]

 Burial Costs

30,000

NIS

Current cost

 General Hospital

2218

NIS per day

b

 Emergency Room Visit

316

NIS

b

 % work losses due to HIV aged 15–24

23.0%

 

[38]

 % work losses due to HIV aged 25–53

32.2%

 

[38]

 % work losses due to HIV aged 54+

4.6%

 

[38]

 Absenteeism due to HIV treatment

23.3

hours per year

[38], e

 Social Overheads on wages

23%

NIS

[38], e

 Wage Cost per Hour

71.31

 

[39]

 Male working hours

40.475

hours per week

[37]

 GNP per capita

145,374

NIS

[39, 41, 43]

  1. a) Ministry of Health protocols
  2. b) Ministry of Health prices
  3. c) HMO prices
  4. d) MOH reimbursement agreement with HMOs
  5. e) MOH Statistics Department
  6. f) MOH Department of TB and AIDS