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Fig. 3 | BMC Public Health

Fig. 3

From: Modelling local patterns of child mortality risk: a Bayesian Spatio-temporal analysis

Fig. 3

a. Temporal trend in child mortality risk for high-risk municipalities. a displays the temporal dynamics of child mortality risk for high-risk municipalities in Greater Mexico City, which are classified into 3 categories: stable, decreasing, and increasing risk. The inserted figures show the observed child mortality risk (black solid dots), the estimated child mortality risk –posterior mean of risk– (open circles and dashed line) with a 95% CI (grey region), and the estimated common trend (black line) over time. Source: Own elaboration using data from INEGI and Mexican Ministry of Health. b. Temporal trend in child mortality risk for medium-risk municipalities. b displays the temporal dynamics of child mortality risk for medium-risk municipalities in Greater Mexico City, which are classified into 3 categories: stable, decreasing, and increasing risk. The inserted figures show the observed child mortality risk (black solid dots), the estimated child mortality risk –posterior mean of risk– (open circles and dashed line) with a 95% CI (grey region), and the estimated common trend (black line) over time. Source: Own elaboration using data from INEGI and Mexican Ministry of Health. c. Temporal trend in child mortality risk for low-risk municipalities. c displays the temporal dynamics of child mortality risk for low-risk municipalities in Greater Mexico City, which are classified into 3 categories: stable, decreasing, and increasing risk. The inserted figures show the observed child mortality risk (black solid dots), the estimated child mortality risk –posterior mean of risk– (open circles and dashed line) with a 95% CI (grey region), and the estimated common trend (black line) over time. Source: Own elaboration using data from INEGI and Mexican Ministry of Health

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