Fig. 3
From: Hindsight is 2020 vision: a characterisation of the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic
Examples of model fit using parameter point estimates: a–b United States, c–d Germany, e–f Australia, g–h United Kingdom, i–j South Korea, and k–l New Zealand. Vertical bars indicate daily reported cases (yellow) and deaths (red). The 50% (dark shaded region) and 95% credible intervals (light shaded region) of the posterior predictive distributions are plotted against the observational data. Credible intervals are computed using n=100 stochastic simulations for the given point estimate. Full posterior predictive distributions are presented in the Supplementary Material