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Table 1 Correlation coefficients between monthly positive ONI and Dengue Cases; and rainfall and Dengue Cases (2014–2018) with different lag periods in Delhi and Visakhapatnam (*indicates p value at 5% significance level)

From: El Niño Southern Oscillation as an early warning tool for dengue outbreak in India

Lag-month

Delhi (Correlation coefficient, ‘r’)

Visakhapatnam (Correlation coefficient, ‘r’)

Positive ONI & dengue cases

Rainfall & dengue cases

Positive ONI & dengue cases

Rainfall & dengue cases

0

0.368

−0.053

−0.541

0.316

1

0.429*

0.189

−0.545*

0.661

2

0.401*

0.412*

−0.552*

0.742*

3

0.217

0.285

−0.537*

0.501*

4

−0.152

0.093

−0.498

0.141

5

−0.178

0.079

−0.44

−0.111

6

−0.131

0.088

−0.431

−0.293

S Error

0.105

0.058

0.019

0.147