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Table 3 Factors associated with the rate of new HIV diagnoses in basic health areas (ABS) of Catalonia (Spain), 2012–2016. N: 355

From: The role of socio-demographic determinants in the geo-spatial distribution of newly diagnosed HIV infections in small areas of Catalonia (Spain)

 

MODEL (1)

  

MODEL (2)

 

Negative Binomial

  

Model (1) + Autocovariate

 

Coef.

(95%CI)

 

Pr(>|z|)

Coef.

(95%CI)

Pr(>|z|)

Variable (ABS level)

 Constant

0

(0–0)

0

< 0.001

0

(0–0)

< 0,001

 Type of municipality

  Rural

Ref.

   

Ref.

  

  Semi-urban

1.147

(0.962–1.369)

 

0,126

1.118

(0.941–1.329)

0,204

  Urban (county)

1.586

(1.231–2.043)

 

< 0.001 ***

1.44

(1.122–1.849)

0,004 **

  Urban (metropolitan)

1.331

(1.063–1.669)

 

0,012 *

1.307

(1.048–1.630)

0,016 *

  Urban (Barcelona)

2.52

(2.020–3.149)

 

< 0.001 ***

2.483

(2.004–3.080)

< 0.001 ***

  Men, 15–44 years (%)

1.193

(1.113–1.280)

 

< 0.001 ***

1.189

(1.112–1.272)

< 0.001 ***

 Men, Western Europe (%)a

  [0.02–2.13]

Ref.

      

  [2.13–13.2]

1.281

(1.085–1.513)

 

0,003 **

1.29

(1.098–1.516)

0,002 **

 Men, Latin America (%)a

  [0.45–5.35]

Ref.

      

  [5.35–22.2]

1.26

(1.077–1.473)

 

0,003 **

1.246

(1.071–1.449)

0,004 **

 Gay references (count)

  [0–2]

Ref.

      

  [3–6]

1.342

(0.995–1.824)

 

0,056

1.343

(1.009–1.799)

0,044

  [7–82]

2.665

(1.924–3.742)

 

< 0.001 ***

2.529

(1.853–3.491)

< 0.001 ***

 Infection from MSM (%)b

  [0.72–45.4]

Ref.

   

Ref.

  

  (45.4–55.6]

0.878

(0.733–1.052)

 

0,158

0.887

(0.744–1.057)

0,181

  [55.6–67.1]

1.024

(0.865–1.212)

 

0,779

1.027

(0.871–1.210)

0,751

  [67.1–95.2]

1.23

(1.016–1.488)

 

0,03 *

1.226

(1.019–1.475)

0,028 *

 Deprivation indexb

  [0.00–37.4]

Ref.

   

Ref.

  

  [37.4–46.4]

1.031

(0.859–1.237)

 

0,745

1.004

(0.842–1.198)

0,965

  [46.4–54.5]

1.045

(0.865–1.264)

 

0,647

1.009

(0.838–1.214)

0,926

  [54.5–100.0]

1.131

(0.923–1.387)

 

0,237

1.092

(0.896–1.332)

0,382

 Autocovariate

 

1.156

(1.09–1.227)

< 0.001 ***

 Model adjustment

  McFadden’s R2

0.226

   

0.236

  

  -2LL

− 1789.8

   

− 1767.4

  

  AIC

1823.8

   

1803.4

  

  BIC

1889.6

   

1873.1

  

  n

355

   

355

  

  g.l.

339

   

338

  

  Moran I test

0.163

0,033

 

< 0.001

−0.038

0,033

0,841

  1. *p ≤ 0.05; **p ≤ 0.01; ***p ≤ 0.001
  2. a1st-3rd vs. 4th quartile; bquartiles