MODEL (1) | MODEL (2) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Negative Binomial | Model (1) + Autocovariate | ||||||
Coef. | (95%CI) | Pr(>|z|) | Coef. | (95%CI) | Pr(>|z|) | ||
Variable (ABS level) | |||||||
Constant | 0 | (0–0) | 0 | < 0.001 | 0 | (0–0) | < 0,001 |
Type of municipality | |||||||
Rural | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
Semi-urban | 1.147 | (0.962–1.369) | 0,126 | 1.118 | (0.941–1.329) | 0,204 | |
Urban (county) | 1.586 | (1.231–2.043) | < 0.001 *** | 1.44 | (1.122–1.849) | 0,004 ** | |
Urban (metropolitan) | 1.331 | (1.063–1.669) | 0,012 * | 1.307 | (1.048–1.630) | 0,016 * | |
Urban (Barcelona) | 2.52 | (2.020–3.149) | < 0.001 *** | 2.483 | (2.004–3.080) | < 0.001 *** | |
Men, 15–44 years (%) | 1.193 | (1.113–1.280) | < 0.001 *** | 1.189 | (1.112–1.272) | < 0.001 *** | |
Men, Western Europe (%)a | |||||||
[0.02–2.13] | Ref. | ||||||
[2.13–13.2] | 1.281 | (1.085–1.513) | 0,003 ** | 1.29 | (1.098–1.516) | 0,002 ** | |
Men, Latin America (%)a | |||||||
[0.45–5.35] | Ref. | ||||||
[5.35–22.2] | 1.26 | (1.077–1.473) | 0,003 ** | 1.246 | (1.071–1.449) | 0,004 ** | |
Gay references (count) | |||||||
[0–2] | Ref. | ||||||
[3–6] | 1.342 | (0.995–1.824) | 0,056 | 1.343 | (1.009–1.799) | 0,044 | |
[7–82] | 2.665 | (1.924–3.742) | < 0.001 *** | 2.529 | (1.853–3.491) | < 0.001 *** | |
Infection from MSM (%)b | |||||||
[0.72–45.4] | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
(45.4–55.6] | 0.878 | (0.733–1.052) | 0,158 | 0.887 | (0.744–1.057) | 0,181 | |
[55.6–67.1] | 1.024 | (0.865–1.212) | 0,779 | 1.027 | (0.871–1.210) | 0,751 | |
[67.1–95.2] | 1.23 | (1.016–1.488) | 0,03 * | 1.226 | (1.019–1.475) | 0,028 * | |
Deprivation indexb | |||||||
[0.00–37.4] | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
[37.4–46.4] | 1.031 | (0.859–1.237) | 0,745 | 1.004 | (0.842–1.198) | 0,965 | |
[46.4–54.5] | 1.045 | (0.865–1.264) | 0,647 | 1.009 | (0.838–1.214) | 0,926 | |
[54.5–100.0] | 1.131 | (0.923–1.387) | 0,237 | 1.092 | (0.896–1.332) | 0,382 | |
Autocovariate | – | – | – | 1.156 | (1.09–1.227) | < 0.001 *** | |
Model adjustment | |||||||
McFadden’s R2 | 0.226 | 0.236 | |||||
-2LL | − 1789.8 | − 1767.4 | |||||
AIC | 1823.8 | 1803.4 | |||||
BIC | 1889.6 | 1873.1 | |||||
n | 355 | 355 | |||||
g.l. | 339 | 338 | |||||
Moran I test | 0.163 | 0,033 | < 0.001 | −0.038 | 0,033 | 0,841 |