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Table 2 The incident cases and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of diabetes mellitus in 1990 and 2017, and its temporal trends from 1990 to 2017

From: Trends in the incidence of diabetes mellitus: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 and implications for diabetes mellitus prevention

Characteristics

1990

2017

1990–2017

Incident cases

ASIR per 100,000

Incident cases

ASIR per 100,000

EAPC(%)a

No. × 103 (95% UI)

No.(95% UI)

No. × 103 (95% UI)

No.(95% UI)

No.(95% CI)

Overall

11,303 (10582–12,102)

234 (219–249)

22,936 (21083–25,041)

285 (262–310)

0.87 (0.79–0.96)

Sex

 Male

5791 (5407–6214)

240 (225–256)

11,770 (10839–12,850)

295 (273–321)

0.89 (0.81–0.99)

 Female

5512 (5162–5886)

227 (213–243)

11,166 (10244–12,217)

274 (252–299)

0.85 (0.77–0.94)

Tape

 Diabetes mellitus type 1

291 (263–323)

5 (5–6)

400 (362–442)

5 (5–6)

0.34 (0.30–0.39)

 Diabetes mellitus type 2

11,013 (10283–11,811)

229 (214–244)

22,535 (20694–24,627)

279 (257–304)

0.89 (0.80–0.97)

Socio-demographic index

 Low

1102 (1019–1195)

227 (209–245)

2796 (2560–3054)

284 (259–311)

0.79 (0.71–0.88)

 Low-middle

1901 (1759–2056)

234 (217–253)

4618 (4228–5032)

304 (278–332)

0.99 (0.92–1.07)

 Middle

3049 (2834–3299)

225 (209–242)

6615 (6062–7248)

286 (262–311)

0.94 (0.85–1.02)

 Middle-high

2544 (2365–2743)

234 (218–251)

4331 (3960–4766)

260 (239–284)

0.63 (0.48–0.78)

 High

2661 (2511–2814)

234 (221–247)

4500 (4146–4910)

286 (265–310)

1.05 (0.92–1.17)

Region

 Asia Pacific–high income

443 (411–479)

221 (206–237)

611 (549–679)

230 (209–254)

0.29 (0.10–0.48)

 Central Asia

181 (169–195)

310 (288–332)

350 (320–387)

376 (345–413)

0.81 (0.73–0.89)

 East Asia

2262 (2067–2479)

180 (165–198)

3573 (3244–3984

202 (185–222)

0.82 (0.49–1.14)

 South Asia

1824 (1677–1989)

212 (195–230)

4724 (4308–5182)

286 (260–313)

1.13 (0.97–1.29)

 Southeast Asia

1090 (1014–1177)

285 (265–306)

2636 (2411–2889)

382 (350–417)

1.03 (0.94–1.13)

 Australasia

50 (46–54)

220 (204–236)

79 (71–87)

209 (190–229)

−0.05(−0.17–0.07)

 Caribbean

96 (91–102)

306 (290–323)

168 (155–183)

340 (314–369)

0.30 (0.27–0.33)

 Central Europe

362 (339–389)

256 (240–273)

472 (428–516)

305 (280–333)

0.68 (0.63–0.72)

 Eastern Europe

614 (565–662)

233 (215–251)

700 (630–776)

248 (226–273)

0.25 (0.21–0.29)

 Western Europe

1174 (1093–1243)

236 (221–250)

1862 (1698–2055)

298 (273–326)

0.82 (0.78–0.86)

 Andean Latin America

59 (55–62)

202 (190–215)

147 (135–160)

250 (230–273)

0.81 (0.77–0.84)

 Central Latin America

434 (408–463)

341 (321–362)

978 (902–1064)

380 (351–413)

0.19 (0.08–0.30)

 Southern Latin America

142 (132–151)

295 (274–314)

244 (221–267)

330 (301–361)

0.47 (0.43–0.52)

 Tropical Latin America

272 (254–291)

217 (203–233)

494 (452–544)

206 (188–226)

−0.30(−0.40– −0.19)

 North Africa and Middle East

733 (680–794)

291 (269–315)

2164 (1980–2370)

384 (351–420)

1.09 (1.03–1.15)

 North America high-income

722 (676–772)

235 (219–251)

1518 (1402–1639)

317 (295–340)

1.98 (1.64–2.31)

 Oceania

28 (26–30)

536 (501–579)

74 (68–81)

655 (604–712)

0.68 (0.56–0.80)

 Central Sub-Saharan Africa

139 (128–151)

381 (352–413)

384 (353–423)

452 (413–494)

0.64 (0.60–0.68)

 Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa

314 (291–339)

271 (251–291)

726 (664–797)

290 (264–317)

0.25 (0.23–0.27)

 Southern Sub-Saharan Africa

127 (118–138)

329 (305–356)

311 (285–340)

453 (416–495)

1.33 (1.18–1.47)

 Western Sub-Saharan Africa

237 (219–258)

184 (169–200)

721 (661–795)

251 (227–274)

1.14 (1.10–1.19)

  1. ASIR age-standardized incidence rate, CI confidence interval, EAPC estimated annual percentage change, UI uncertainty interval
  2. aThe ASIR was deemed to be in an increasing trend if the EAPC and the lower boundary of its 95% CI were both > 0%;the ASIR was in a decreasing trend if the EAPC estimation and the upper boundary of its 95% CI were both < 0%; otherwise, the ASIR was deemed to be uncertain over time