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Table 4 Comparative ITS analysis model parameters of population-standardized quarterly notification rates of All Forms and bacteriologically-confirmed TB cases for control versus non-IMPACT-TB districtsa,b,c

From: A comparative impact evaluation of two human resource models for community-based active tuberculosis case finding in Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam

 

Control versus non-IMPACT-TB districts

IRRd

95% CI

p-valuee

All Forms TB

 Baseline rate (β0)

48.104

[47.315, 48.906]

< 0.001

 Pre-intervention trend, control (β1)

0.995

[0.994, 0.997]

< 0.001

 Post-intervention step change, control (β2)

0.795

[0.763, 0.829]

< 0.001

 Post-intervention trend, control (β3)

1.006

[0.997, 1.015]

0.168

 Difference in baseline (β4)

0.802

[0.785, 0.821]

< 0.001

 Difference in pre-intervention trends (β5)

1.006

[1.004, 1.008]

< 0.001

 Difference in post-intervention step change (β6)

1.012

[0.957, 1.071]

0.667

 Difference in post-intervention trends (β7)

1.006

[0.994, 1.018]

0.322

Bacteriologically-confirmed TB

 Baseline rate (β0)

27.461

[26.677, 28.268]

< 0.001

 Pre-intervention trend, control (β1)

1.001

[0.998, 1.003]

0.599

 Post-intervention step change, control (β2)

0.882

[0.825, 0.943]

< 0.001

 Post-intervention trend, control (β3)

1.006

[0.992, 1.020]

0.372

 Difference in baseline (β4)

0.810

[0.779, 0.843]

< 0.001

 Difference in pre-intervention trends (β5)

1.003

[1.000, 1.006]

0.053

 Difference in post-intervention step change (β6)

1.058

[0.968, 1.157]

0.217

 Difference in post-intervention trends (β7)

0.994

[0.976, 1.013]

0.553

  1. aThe parameters were obtained for a segmented regression model with the following structure: Yt = β0 + β1Tt + β2Xt + β3XtTt + β4Z + β5ZTt + β6ZXt + β6ZXtTt + ϵt. Here Yt is the outcome measure along time t; Tt is the monthly time counter; Xt indicates pre- and post-intervention periods, Z denotes the intervention cohort, and ZTt, ZXt, and ZXtTt are interaction terms. β0 to β3 relate to the control group as follows: β0, intercept; β1, pre-intervention trend; β2, post-intervention step change; β3, post-intervention trend. β4 to β7 represent differences between the control and intervention districts: β4, difference in baseline intercepts; β5, difference in pre-intervention trends; β6, difference in post-intervention step changes; β7, difference in post-intervention trend
  2. bThe baseline rate denotes case notification rates per quarter as monthly notification rates were unavailable for non-study districts
  3. cThe non-IMPACT-TB districts included eight of the 12 remaining districts in HCMC. Four districts were excluded due to concurrent ACF interventions (Go Vap, 7 and 10) and large differences in population growth (Nha Be)
  4. dIRR based on log-linear GEE Poisson regression with correlation structures as determined by the Cumby-Huizinga test and Quasi-Information Criteria
  5. eWald test