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Table 5 Marginal predictions of the mortality hazard ratios for all combinations of care status with baseline census year from sensitivity models, ONS Longitudinal Study

From: Association of childhood out-of-home care status with all-cause mortality up to 42-years later: Office of National Statistics Longitudinal Study

In care

Baseline census

Model 5

Model SM1 Disadvantaged non-care group

Model SM2 Residential care only

Model SM3

Non-residential care only

Model SM4

Deaths > 17 years old only

No

1971

1.35 (1.14, 1.57)

1.35 (0.92, 1.78)

1.30 (1.09, 1.51)

1.31 (1.11, 1.52)

2.95 (2.46, 3.44)

No

1981

1.43 (1.18, 1.68)

1.59 (1.02, 2.16)

1.38 (1.13, 1.63)

1.39 (1.14, 1.64)

3.27 (2.66, 3.88)

No

1991

1.13 (0.92, 1.35)

1.43 (0.87, 2.00)

1.09 (0.88, 1.31)

1.10 (0.89, 1.32)

2.47 (1.95, 2.99)

No

2001

0.61 (0.45, 0.77)

0.55 (0.22, 0.89)

0.59 (0.43, 0.74)

0.59 (0.44, 0.75)

1.72 (1.16, 2.28)

Yes

1971

1.95 (1.50, 2.40)

1.77 (1.12, 2.42)

3.36 (2.33, 4.39)

1.43 (1.06, 1.80)

4.15 (3.16, 5.13)

Yes

1981

2.81 (1.89, 3.73)

2.59 (1.41, 3.77)

7.24 (3.91, 10.57)

1.93 (1.16, 2.69)

6.25 (4.09, 8.40)

Yes

1991

2.19 (1.08, 3.31)

2.08 (0.83, 3.33)

4.15 (−0.68, 8.98)

1.92 (0.86, 2.99)

4.98 (2.21, 7.75)

Yes

2001

2.81 (1.13, 4.49)

2.70 (0.83, 4.57)

31.50 (−4.98, 67.97)

2.09 (0.66, 3.51)

9.05 (2.10, 16.00)

Wald test

 

16.42

13.11

30.14

12.71

13.59

p

 

0.0009

0.004

< 0.00005

0.005

0.004

N

 

353,601

81,967

350,477

353,090

353,601

Observations

 

491,539

93,567

485,770

490,627

491,539