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Table 3 Joinpoint Regression Results, Child Mortality Post-CRC Ratification

From: Did the UN convention on the rights of the child reduce child mortality around the world? An interrupted time series analysis

 

Mean Under 5 Mortality Rate

Trend 1

Trend 2

Trend 3

Trend 4

 

AAPC (95% CI)

 

Ratification Year

20 Years Post-Ratification

Year

APC (95% CI)

Year

APC (95% CI)

Year

APC (95% CI)

Year

APC (95% CI)

Overall (0–20 Years)

Low Income, Democratic Countries

208.35

93.96

0–3

−4.8 (−5.0, − 4.6)

3–8

−5.7 (− 5.8, − 5.6)

8–15

− 6.3 (− 6.8, − 5.8)

15–20

− 5.3

− 5.6 (− 6.1, − 5.1)

Low Income, Non-Democratic Countries

158.45

87.96

0–3

1.1 (0.8, 1.4)

3–8

−2.3 (− 2.6, − 2.0)

8–15

−2.2 (− 2.4, − 2.0)

15–20

−4.5

−3.5 (− 3.9, − 3.1)

Middle Income, Democratic Countries

64.99

32.52

0–6

− 1.6 (− 1.9, − 1.3)

6–11

− 1.6 (− 1.7, − 1.5)

11–20

− 1.7 (− 1.7, − 1.7)

−1.6 (− 1.9, − 1.3)

Middle Income, Non-Democratic Countries

80.36

43.39

0–6

− 1.3 (− 1.3, − 1.3)

6–11

−2.1 (− 2.5, − 1.7)

11–20

− 2.1 (− 2.3, − 1.9)

−1.8 (− 2.1, − 1.5)

High Income, Democratic Countries

12.41

5.67

0–6

− 0.5 (− 0.5, − 0.4)

6–9

− 0.4 (− 0.5, − 0.3)

9–18

− 0.3 (− 0.5, − 0.1)

18–20

− 0.2 (− 0.2, − 0.2)

−0.3 (− 0.5, − 0.1)

High Income, Non-Democratic Countries

36.25

22.94

0–6

−1.0 (− 1.0, − 1.0)

6–9

− 0.8 (− 0.9, − 0.7)

9–18

−0.8 (− 1.0, − 0.6)

18–20

0.6 (0.6, 0.6)

−0.7 (− 0.1, − 0.6)

  1. (APC Annual % Change, AAPC Average Annual % Change)