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Table 1 Summary of Completed and Planned EPI Forecasting Challenge Designs as of August 2019

From: Applying infectious disease forecasting to public health: a path forward using influenza forecasting examples

Challenge NameHealth Outcome of InterestYear(s)Target(s)
Predict the Influenza Season ChallengeILI in the United States at the national/regional level2013–14Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, season duration
FluSight 2014–15ILI in the United States at the national/regional level2014–15Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
Dengue Forecasting ProjectDengue cases in Iquitos, Peru and San Juan, Puerto Rico2015Timing of peak incidence, maximum weekly incidence, total number of cases in a transmission season
FluSight 2015–16ILI in the United States at the national/regional level2015–16Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
FluSight 2016–17ILI in the United States at the national/regional level2016–17Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
FluSight 2017–18ILI in the United States at the national/regional level2017–18Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
State FluSight 2017–18ILI in the United States at the state/territory level2017–18Peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
Influenza Hospitalizations 2017–18Influenza hospitalizations in the United States2017–18Peak week, peek weekly hospitalization rate, weekly hospitalization rates 1–4 weeks ahead
FluSight 2018–19ILI in the United States at the national/regional level2018–19Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
State FluSight 2018–19ILI in the United States at the state/territory level2018–19Peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
Influenza Hospitalizations 2018–19Influenza hospitalizations in the United States2018–19Peak week, peek weekly hospitalization rate, weekly hospitalization rates 1–4 weeks ahead
Aedes Challenge 2019Aedes aegypti or Ae. Albopictus (vectors of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever, and Zika viruses)2019Monthly presence of Aedes aegypti or Ae. albopictus
FluSight 2019–20ILI in the United States at the national/regional level2019–20 (future)Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
State FluSight 2019–20ILI in the United States at the state/territory level2019–20 (future)Peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead
Influenza Hospitalizations 2019–20Influenza hospitalizations in the United States2019–20 (future)Peak week, peek weekly hospitalization rate, weekly hospitalization rates 1–4 weeks ahead