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Table 4 Associations between background variables at baseline and CMP at follow-up (n = 153–154) based on logistic regression analysis

From: Worse health status, sleeping problems, and anxiety in 16-year-old students are associated with chronic musculoskeletal pain at three-year follow-up

Baseline variables

Model 1

No CMP at follow-up = 0

(n = 115)

CMP at follow-up = 1

(n = 39)

Model 2

No CMP at follow-up = 0

(n = 115)

CMP at follow-up = 1

(n = 38)

OR

(95% CI; p-value)

OR

(95% CI; p-value)

Sex

 Boys

1.00

 

1.00

 

 Girls

1.67

(0.74–3.76; p = 0.217)

1.05

(0.41–2.67; p = 0.916)

EQ-5D

 EQ-5D ≥ 0.85

1.00

 

1.00

 

 EQ-5D < 0.85

4.06

(1.83–9.01; p = 0.001)

2.04

(0.77–5.36; p = 0.149)

Problems initiating sleep

 None to moderate

1.00

   

 Severe to very severe

3.44

(1.24–9.54; p = 0.018)

  

Problems maintaining sleep

 None to moderate

1.00

   

 Severe to very severe

3.04

(0.41–22.62; p = 0.277)

  

Problems with early morning awakening

 None to moderate

1.00

   

 Severe to very severe

2.69

(0.77–9.44; p = 0.122)

  

Problems with non-restorative sleep

 None to moderate

1.00

   

 Severe to very severe

2.60

(1.18–5.70; p = 0.018)

  

Severe sleeping problems

 No severe sleeping problems

1.00

 

1.00

 

 Severe sleeping problems

3.63

(1.69–7.82; p = 0.001)

2.06

(0.84–5.07; p = 0.115)

Stress

 Points 1–3

1.00

   

 Points 4–5

1.75

(0.76–4.02; p = 0.187)

  

HADS anxiety

 Non-cases

1.00

 

1.00

 

 Possible cases

4.19

(1.74–10.11; p = 0.001)

2.31

(0.86–6.20; p = 0.095)

 Probable cases

3.82

(1.17–12.48; p = 0.027)

1.27

(0.31–5.24; p = 0.740)

HADS depression

 Non-cases

1.00

   

 Possible cases

1.61

(0.45–5.72; p = 0.465)

  

 Probable cases

–

   

IPAQ

 Low

1.00

   

 Moderate

2.39

(0.60–9.58; p = 0.217)

  

 High

1.64

(0.42–6.41; p = 0.476)

  

CMP

 No CMP

1.00

 

1.00

 

 CMP

5.51

(2.23–13.61; p < 0.001)

2.99

(1.09–8.24; p = 0.034)

 Do not know or missing

1.45

(0.42–4.99; p = 0.556)

0.79

(0.18–3.49; p = 0.756)

  1. Model 1: A logistic regression analysis in which variables were controlled for sex but otherwise included separately in the analysis
  2. Model 2: A multiple logistic regression analysis. R2 (Nagelkerke) = 0.240 for full model
  3. OR odds ratio, CI confidence interval