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Table 4 Epidemic detection methods with the ten lowest FARs

From: Methods for detecting seasonal influenza epidemics using a school absenteeism surveillance system

Model Data Type Parameters FAR ADD
Seasonal Mixed, D.O.W. ES-allavg (Int.) l = 7, Θ = 0.20 0.299 15.13
Seasonal Mixed ES-allavg (Del.) l = 11, Θ = 0.25 0.313 23.63
Seasonal Mixed, D.O.W. ES-allavg (Del.) l = 15, Θ = 0.25 0.333 21.50
Seasonal LR ES-allavg (Del.) l = 5, Θ = 0.25 0.344 23.00
Seasonal GEE ES-top (Int.) l = 1, Θ = 0.15 0.350 14.29
Seasonal GEE ES-allavg (Del.) l = 7, Θ = 0.25 0.350 23.13
Seasonal GEE ES-3avg (Del.) l = 15, Θ = 0.25 0.375 29.38
Seasonal LR ES.SS-allavg (Del.) l = 11, Θ = 0.30 0.375 31.75
Seasonal GEE, DOW ES-allavg (Del.) l = 11, Θ = 0.30 0.375 33.13
Seasonal GEE, DOW ES.SS-allavg (Del.) l = 8, Θ = 0.30 0.375 33.13
  1. Del. = Missing values deleted, Int. = Missing values linearly interpolated
  2. See Table 2 for aggregation abbreviations