3 months Cumulative incidence % (95% CI) | 6 months Cumulative incidence % (95% CI) | 1 year Cumulative incidence % (95% CI) | 3 years Cumulative incidence % (95% CI) | 5 years Cumulative incidence % (95% CI) | 10 years Cumulative incidence % (95% CI) | p-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age at ART Initiation1 | < 0.0001 | ||||||
< 1 year | 5.0(2.5–8.9) | 9.0(5.3–13.7) | 14.7(9.9–2.0) | 22.3(16.3–28.8) | 25.9(19.4–32.8) | 27.7(20.9–34.9) | |
1–5 years | 3.6(2.0–5.8) | 4.9(3.1–7.4) | 7.6(5.2–10.5) | 12.7(9.5–16.3) | 14.8(11.3–18.8) | 17.2(12.9–21.9) | |
6–15 years | 1.3(0.5–2.6) | 1.5(0.7–2.9) | 2.1(1.1–3.8) | 5.3(0.3.5–7.7) | 10.0(7.3–13.3) | 20.3(14.8–26.2) | |
Weight for Height z-score < −3SD at ART initiation2 | 0.01077 | ||||||
Yes | 5.0(2.4–8.8) | 7.2(4.0–11.6) | 9.4(5.7–14.3) | 16.6(11.4–22.6) | 21.0(14.8–27.8) | NA | |
No | 2.3(1.5–3.5) | 3.4(2.3–4.8) | 5.7(4.2–7.3) | 9.8(7.9–12.1) | 13.2(10.9–15.8) | 20.1(16.3–24.1) | |
Regimen at Baseline3 | < 0.0001 | ||||||
1NNRTI + 2NRTI’s | 2.2(1.3–3.3) | 3.2(2.2–4.5) | 5.1(3.8–6.7) | 8.6(6.9–10.6) | 12.1(10.0–14.6) | 19.0(15.3–23.0) | |
LPV/R | 1.8(0.1–8.7) | 5.6(1.4–14.1) | 11.6(4.6–22.1) | 30.5(17.0–45.2) | 34.0(19.4–49.2) | 43.9(20.6–65.2) | |
3NRTI | 10.3(4.7–18.3) | 12.9(6.5–21.4) | 17.0(9.5–26.2) | 27.5(18.0–37.9) | 30.5(20.4–41.2) | N/A | |
Year of ART Initiation4 | < 0.0001 | ||||||
2003–2005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8(0.5–8.8) | 12.7(6.1–21.6) | |
2006–2009 | 2.9(1.7–4.7) | 3.7(2.3–5.6) | 5.9(4.1–8.2) | 8.6(6.4–11.3) | 12.2(9.5–15.2) | N/A | |
2010–2012 | 2.6(1.2–4.9) | 4.3(2.4–7.0) | 6.2(3.9–9.4) | 14.9(11.1–19.2) | 19.0(14.3–24.1) | N/A | |
2013–2015 | 4.0(1.6–8.0) | 6.8(4.0–9.4) | 11.5(6.8–17.4) | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Access to Phone5 | < 0.0001 | ||||||
Yes | 2.6(1.6–3.9) | 3.3(2.1–4.9) | 4.6(3.2–6.3) | 8.2(6.3–10.5) | 10.9(8.6–13.5) | 17.5(13.4–22.1) | |
No | 3.3(1.7–5.6) | 5.7(3.6–8.6) | 10.1(7.1–13.7) | 17.0(13.0–21.4) | 22.4(17.7–27.3) | 29.1(22.3–36.2) | |
HIV Disclosed at Baseline6 | 0.0266 | ||||||
Yes | 0.5(0.04–2.7) | 0.5(0.04–2.7) | 0.5(0.04–2.7) | 3.8(1.7–7.4) | 7.0(3.8–11.5) | 18.5(11.3–27.0) | |
No | 3.3(2.3–4.7) | 4.8(3.5–6.5) | 7.7(6.0–9.6) | 12.7(10.5–15.1) | 16.4(13.8–19.2) | 21.2(17.2–25.6) |