Skip to main content

Table 4 Estimates of the reproduction number, R, for measles in the Iran, according to the three estimation of methods, 2014–2016

From: Monitoring progress towards the elimination of measles in Iran: supporting evidence from 2014 to 2016 by application of measles outbreaks data

Method

2014

2015

2016

2014–2016

Proportion of cases imported

0.76 (95% CI:0.62–0.91)

0.79 (95% CI:0.71–0.86)

0.89 (95% CI:0.70–1)

0.79 (95% CI:0.73–0.86)

Distribution of chain sizes

0.72 (95% CI:0.46–0.98)

0.85 (95% CI:0.65–1)

0.69 (95% CI:0.51–0.88)

0.83 (95% CI:0.68–0.97)

Distribution of chain durations

0.55 (95% CI:0.20–0.90)

0.55 (95% CI:0.32–0.78)

0.30 (95% CI:0.00–0.70)

0.76 (95% CI:0.54–0.90)