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Table 3 Bayesian estimates of temporal change in modern contraceptive prevalence: Rounds 1 to 4

From: Subnational estimation of modern contraceptive prevalence in five sub-Saharan African countries: a Bayesian hierarchical approach

Country Region Change in mCPR Uncertainty Interval
Ghana Ashanti (AS) 7.0 3.7–10.4
Brong Ahafo (BA) 7.9 3.0–13.0
Central (CE) 8.3 3.2–13.4
Eastern (EA) 9.9 5.8–15.0
Greater Accra (GA) 8.0 4.7–11.6
Northern (NO) 5.6 2.6–9.1
Upper East (UE) 12.8 5.9–20.7
Upper West (UW) 7.8 −0.3 - 16.5
Volta (VO) 7.4 3.7–10.9
Western (WE) 6.4 3.1–9.8
ALL 8.6 6.8–10.4
Ethiopia Addis Ababa (AA) 5.0 2.2–7.8
Afar (AF) 7.4 3.6–12.2
Amhara (AM) −0.9 −3.6 - 1.8
Benishangul Gumuz (BG) 0.8 −3.8 - 5.0
Dire Dawa (DD) 21.1 12.8–29.7
Ethiopia Somali (ES) −0.9 −4.7 - 2.9
Gambella (GA) 0.4 −6.9 - 8.1
Harari (HA) −2.3 −10.4 - 6.3
Oromiya (OR) 3.6 1.0–6.1
SNNPR (SN) 5.4 3.0–8.0
Tigray (TI) 2.3 −0.4 - 4.8
ALL 3.6 2.0–5.2
Kenya Bungoma (BU) 2.2 −2.0 - 6.0
Kericho (KE) 0.6 −4.5 - 4.8
Kiambu (KI) 8.8 3.7–14.1
Kilifi (KL) 3.0 −1.5 - 7.1
Kitui (KT) 9.8 5.7–14.4
Nairobi (NA) 5.3 0.2–10.5
Nandi (NN) 3.0 −1.0 - 7.0
Nyamira (NY) 5.0 0.9–9.3
Siaya (SI) 7.5 3.1–12.2
ALL 4.7 2.7–6.8
Uganda Central1 (C1) 4.0 −1.7 - 9.6
Central2 (C2) 9.4 5.1–14.0
East Central (EC) 8.6 4.8–12.3
Eastern (EA) 7.3 3.1–11.5
Kampala (KA) 5.8 1.3–10.2
Karamoja (KR) −0.6 −5.2 - 3.9
North (NO) 4.2 − 0.1 - 8.1
South West (SW) 7.5 3.8–11.7
West Nile (WN) 6.5 3.0–10.1
Western (WE) 4.5 −0.2 - 9.2
ALL 6.4 4.5–8.3
Burkina Faso Boucle du Mouhoun (BM) 0.1 −5.3 - 5.7
Cascades (CA) −4.4 −10.0 - 1.6
Centre (CT) 2.7 −1.6 - 6.9
Centre Est (CE) 3.7 −1.1 - 8.8
Centre Nord (CN) −2.1 −6.9 - 2.8
Centre Ouest (CO) −1.1 −7.4 - 4.9
Centre Sud (CS) −0.2 −10.3 - 9.8
Est (ES) 4.5 −0.1 - 9.8
Haut Bassins (HB) 1.4 −3.5 - 6.8
Nord (NO) −0.7 −6.6 - 4.5
Plateau Central (PC) −7.5 −14.8 - 0.0
Sahel (SA) 0.9 −4.3 - 6.3
Sud Ouest (SO) −0.7 −7.2 - 5.5
ALL 0.4 −1.6 - 2.3
  1. Note: the median of the temporal change does not necessarily equal the change in the median