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Table 2 Bayesian estimates of the modern contraceptive prevalence rate and 95% uncertainty intervals in Ghana, Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda and Burkina Faso by round

From: Subnational estimation of modern contraceptive prevalence in five sub-Saharan African countries: a Bayesian hierarchical approach

Country

Region

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

mCPR

Lower

Upper

mCPR

Lower

Upper

mCPR

Lower

Upper

mCPR

Lower

Upper

Ghana

Ashanti

15.9

14.0

18.1

16.5

14.6

18.8

18.1

15.8

20.6

23.0

20.5

25.9

 

Brong Ahafo

16.1

13.2

19.1

15.2

12.3

18.1

22.6

19.0

26.5

24.0

20.4

27.8

Central

16.5

13.6

19.9

19.7

16.4

23.2

21.7

18.2

25.6

24.8

21.2

28.9

Eastern

13.5

10.9

16.7

13.6

10.8

16.6

18.0

15.3

21.2

23.6

19.9

27.7

Greater Accra

15.2

12.7

17.5

15.8

13.6

18.1

19.3

17.0

21.7

23.2

20.7

25.9

Northern

8.0

6.4

9.8

6.3

5.0

7.8

10.8

8.4

13.9

13.6

11.2

16.7

Upper East

17.4

13.8

21.7

16.2

12.8

19.9

19.3

14.5

25.4

30.6

24.2

36.9

Upper West

24.6

19.5

30.7

20.1

16.0

24.6

25.5

20.9

31.0

32.6

26.7

39.9

Volta

9.4

7.2

12.2

8.2

6.4

10.4

14.5

11.8

17.2

16.7

14.3

19.7

Western

7.5

5.4

9.8

8.7

6.9

10.8

13.0

10.5

16.0

13.9

11.2

16.9

ALL

14.0

12.8

15.1

14.0

12.9

15.0

18.3

17.1

19.5

22.6

21.3

23.9

Ethiopia

Addis Ababa

21.8

19.9

23.8

22.9

21.1

24.9

28.3

26.4

30.3

26.8

24.8

29.0

Afar

5.4

3.5

7.7

11.6

7.9

16.1

18.2

12.8

23.8

12.9

8.9

17.7

Amhara

33.8

31.7

35.7

34.7

32.9

36.7

33.5

31.6

35.2

32.9

31.1

34.6

Benishangul Gumuz

15.4

12.2

19.3

11.3

9.1

14.2

15.5

12.7

18.5

16.3

13.2

19.6

Dire Dawa

16.3

11.2

22.0

22.0

16.4

28.6

29.6

24.4

35.0

37.4

29.8

44.8

Ethiopia Somali

9.2

6.3

12.5

7.6

5.3

10.2

8.1

5.8

10.7

8.3

5.7

11.3

Gambella

26.2

21.1

31.1

21.8

17.5

27.4

21.8

17.4

26.4

26.4

20.8

33.6

Harari

26.8

20.3

33.9

18.0

13.5

22.8

23.4

18.1

29.8

24.6

18.8

31.4

Oromiya

18.9

16.9

20.9

20.0

18.3

21.7

23.3

21.7

24.9

22.4

20.7

24.2

SNNPR

22.3

20.6

24.0

24.2

22.4

26.1

27.4

25.8

29.2

27.7

25.8

29.8

Tigray

20.2

18.3

22.1

22.4

20.6

24.1

23.5

21.7

25.3

22.4

20.6

24.4

ALL

23.0

21.9

24.1

24.2

23.1

25.3

27.2

26.2

28.2

26.6

25.5

27.6

Kenya

Bungoma

42.3

39.4

45.2

39.2

36.7

41.5

44.1

41.6

46.7

44.4

41.6

46.9

Kericho

40.1

36.4

43.8

37.9

34.8

40.9

43.1

40.0

46.6

40.5

37.4

43.7

Kiambu

41.2

37.1

45.3

44.4

40.9

48.0

47.9

44.8

51.2

50.0

46.0

53.7

Kilifi

29.9

26.9

33.2

26.4

23.7

29.3

32.9

29.8

35.9

32.8

30.0

36.0

Kitui

41.0

37.5

44.1

39.7

37.1

42.4

50.2

47.3

52.8

50.7

47.8

53.8

Nairobi

43.8

39.6

47.9

42.1

38.7

45.2

51.4

47.5

55.0

49.2

45.4

53.0

Nandi

44.2

41.1

47.3

45.0

42.4

47.8

47.9

45.5

50.4

47.2

44.4

50.0

Nyamira

50.5

47.5

53.7

50.6

47.9

53.3

57.0

54.1

60.0

55.6

52.8

58.3

Siaya

41.7

38.1

45.2

40.1

37.1

43.2

46.9

43.8

49.6

49.3

46.1

52.4

ALL

41.4

39.8

42.9

40.2

38.9

41.5

46.7

45.3

48.1

46.1

44.7

47.4

Uganda

Central1

26.7

22.8

30.9

31.6

27.7

36.0

32.0

28.1

36.3

30.7

26.7

35.0

Central2

20.2

17.3

23.3

27.6

24.0

31.0

29.6

26.2

32.9

29.6

26.3

33.2

East Central

18.0

15.7

20.5

24.2

21.5

27.1

25.2

22.2

28.2

26.4

23.7

29.5

Eastern

19.3

16.4

22.1

24.4

21.4

27.3

23.8

20.9

26.7

26.6

23.4

29.8

Kampala

30.0

26.7

33.1

37.5

34.5

40.9

37.5

34.5

40.7

35.8

32.6

38.8

Karamoja

9.0

6.1

13.1

7.8

5.5

11.0

6.7

4.4

10.2

8.4

5.7

12.2

North

22.0

19.2

25.1

25.6

23.0

28.4

23.3

20.7

26.1

26.2

23.1

29.3

South West

22.6

20.2

25.2

26.8

24.2

29.5

25.5

23.0

28.1

30.2

27.0

33.0

West Nile

9.7

7.5

12.1

14.9

12.1

17.9

14.5

11.8

17.4

16.3

13.6

19.3

Western

25.1

21.7

28.2

30.3

26.6

33.9

28.0

24.5

31.6

29.4

25.9

33.3

ALL

20.9

19.6

22.2

26.1

24.8

27.5

25.8

24.5

27.2

27.3

26.0

28.8

Burkina Faso

Boucle du Mouhoun

     

19.7

15.9

24.1

19.8

16.1

24.1

Cascades

      

24.9

20.5

29.3

20.5

16.2

25.2

Centre

      

31.8

28.8

35.1

34.4

31.1

37.8

Centre Est

      

14.5

10.9

18.4

18.2

14.4

22.6

Centre Nord

      

18.3

14.5

22.1

16.2

12.5

20.1

Centre Ouest

      

20.9

16.7

26.2

19.8

15.5

24.6

Centre Sud

      

24.5

17.6

32.1

24.3

16.7

32.8

Est

      

18.7

15.5

22.3

23.2

19.3

27.6

Haut Bassins

      

27.8

23.8

31.7

29.2

25.5

33.1

Nord

      

20.2

16.5

24.9

19.5

15.3

23.5

Plateau Central

      

23.4

17.2

30.2

16.0

11.4

21.3

Sahel

      

12.7

8.7

17.4

13.6

10.1

17.8

Sud Ouest

      

16.0

11.7

21.5

15.5

10.9

21.7

ALL

      

21.5

20.2

22.9

21.8

20.5

23.4

  1. Note: Lower and upper denote the boundaries of the 95% uncertainty interval from Bayesian posterior distribution