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Table 2 Bayesian estimates of the modern contraceptive prevalence rate and 95% uncertainty intervals in Ghana, Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda and Burkina Faso by round

From: Subnational estimation of modern contraceptive prevalence in five sub-Saharan African countries: a Bayesian hierarchical approach

Country Region Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
mCPR Lower Upper mCPR Lower Upper mCPR Lower Upper mCPR Lower Upper
Ghana Ashanti 15.9 14.0 18.1 16.5 14.6 18.8 18.1 15.8 20.6 23.0 20.5 25.9
  Brong Ahafo 16.1 13.2 19.1 15.2 12.3 18.1 22.6 19.0 26.5 24.0 20.4 27.8
Central 16.5 13.6 19.9 19.7 16.4 23.2 21.7 18.2 25.6 24.8 21.2 28.9
Eastern 13.5 10.9 16.7 13.6 10.8 16.6 18.0 15.3 21.2 23.6 19.9 27.7
Greater Accra 15.2 12.7 17.5 15.8 13.6 18.1 19.3 17.0 21.7 23.2 20.7 25.9
Northern 8.0 6.4 9.8 6.3 5.0 7.8 10.8 8.4 13.9 13.6 11.2 16.7
Upper East 17.4 13.8 21.7 16.2 12.8 19.9 19.3 14.5 25.4 30.6 24.2 36.9
Upper West 24.6 19.5 30.7 20.1 16.0 24.6 25.5 20.9 31.0 32.6 26.7 39.9
Volta 9.4 7.2 12.2 8.2 6.4 10.4 14.5 11.8 17.2 16.7 14.3 19.7
Western 7.5 5.4 9.8 8.7 6.9 10.8 13.0 10.5 16.0 13.9 11.2 16.9
ALL 14.0 12.8 15.1 14.0 12.9 15.0 18.3 17.1 19.5 22.6 21.3 23.9
Ethiopia Addis Ababa 21.8 19.9 23.8 22.9 21.1 24.9 28.3 26.4 30.3 26.8 24.8 29.0
Afar 5.4 3.5 7.7 11.6 7.9 16.1 18.2 12.8 23.8 12.9 8.9 17.7
Amhara 33.8 31.7 35.7 34.7 32.9 36.7 33.5 31.6 35.2 32.9 31.1 34.6
Benishangul Gumuz 15.4 12.2 19.3 11.3 9.1 14.2 15.5 12.7 18.5 16.3 13.2 19.6
Dire Dawa 16.3 11.2 22.0 22.0 16.4 28.6 29.6 24.4 35.0 37.4 29.8 44.8
Ethiopia Somali 9.2 6.3 12.5 7.6 5.3 10.2 8.1 5.8 10.7 8.3 5.7 11.3
Gambella 26.2 21.1 31.1 21.8 17.5 27.4 21.8 17.4 26.4 26.4 20.8 33.6
Harari 26.8 20.3 33.9 18.0 13.5 22.8 23.4 18.1 29.8 24.6 18.8 31.4
Oromiya 18.9 16.9 20.9 20.0 18.3 21.7 23.3 21.7 24.9 22.4 20.7 24.2
SNNPR 22.3 20.6 24.0 24.2 22.4 26.1 27.4 25.8 29.2 27.7 25.8 29.8
Tigray 20.2 18.3 22.1 22.4 20.6 24.1 23.5 21.7 25.3 22.4 20.6 24.4
ALL 23.0 21.9 24.1 24.2 23.1 25.3 27.2 26.2 28.2 26.6 25.5 27.6
Kenya Bungoma 42.3 39.4 45.2 39.2 36.7 41.5 44.1 41.6 46.7 44.4 41.6 46.9
Kericho 40.1 36.4 43.8 37.9 34.8 40.9 43.1 40.0 46.6 40.5 37.4 43.7
Kiambu 41.2 37.1 45.3 44.4 40.9 48.0 47.9 44.8 51.2 50.0 46.0 53.7
Kilifi 29.9 26.9 33.2 26.4 23.7 29.3 32.9 29.8 35.9 32.8 30.0 36.0
Kitui 41.0 37.5 44.1 39.7 37.1 42.4 50.2 47.3 52.8 50.7 47.8 53.8
Nairobi 43.8 39.6 47.9 42.1 38.7 45.2 51.4 47.5 55.0 49.2 45.4 53.0
Nandi 44.2 41.1 47.3 45.0 42.4 47.8 47.9 45.5 50.4 47.2 44.4 50.0
Nyamira 50.5 47.5 53.7 50.6 47.9 53.3 57.0 54.1 60.0 55.6 52.8 58.3
Siaya 41.7 38.1 45.2 40.1 37.1 43.2 46.9 43.8 49.6 49.3 46.1 52.4
ALL 41.4 39.8 42.9 40.2 38.9 41.5 46.7 45.3 48.1 46.1 44.7 47.4
Uganda Central1 26.7 22.8 30.9 31.6 27.7 36.0 32.0 28.1 36.3 30.7 26.7 35.0
Central2 20.2 17.3 23.3 27.6 24.0 31.0 29.6 26.2 32.9 29.6 26.3 33.2
East Central 18.0 15.7 20.5 24.2 21.5 27.1 25.2 22.2 28.2 26.4 23.7 29.5
Eastern 19.3 16.4 22.1 24.4 21.4 27.3 23.8 20.9 26.7 26.6 23.4 29.8
Kampala 30.0 26.7 33.1 37.5 34.5 40.9 37.5 34.5 40.7 35.8 32.6 38.8
Karamoja 9.0 6.1 13.1 7.8 5.5 11.0 6.7 4.4 10.2 8.4 5.7 12.2
North 22.0 19.2 25.1 25.6 23.0 28.4 23.3 20.7 26.1 26.2 23.1 29.3
South West 22.6 20.2 25.2 26.8 24.2 29.5 25.5 23.0 28.1 30.2 27.0 33.0
West Nile 9.7 7.5 12.1 14.9 12.1 17.9 14.5 11.8 17.4 16.3 13.6 19.3
Western 25.1 21.7 28.2 30.3 26.6 33.9 28.0 24.5 31.6 29.4 25.9 33.3
ALL 20.9 19.6 22.2 26.1 24.8 27.5 25.8 24.5 27.2 27.3 26.0 28.8
Burkina Faso Boucle du Mouhoun       19.7 15.9 24.1 19.8 16.1 24.1
Cascades        24.9 20.5 29.3 20.5 16.2 25.2
Centre        31.8 28.8 35.1 34.4 31.1 37.8
Centre Est        14.5 10.9 18.4 18.2 14.4 22.6
Centre Nord        18.3 14.5 22.1 16.2 12.5 20.1
Centre Ouest        20.9 16.7 26.2 19.8 15.5 24.6
Centre Sud        24.5 17.6 32.1 24.3 16.7 32.8
Est        18.7 15.5 22.3 23.2 19.3 27.6
Haut Bassins        27.8 23.8 31.7 29.2 25.5 33.1
Nord        20.2 16.5 24.9 19.5 15.3 23.5
Plateau Central        23.4 17.2 30.2 16.0 11.4 21.3
Sahel        12.7 8.7 17.4 13.6 10.1 17.8
Sud Ouest        16.0 11.7 21.5 15.5 10.9 21.7
ALL        21.5 20.2 22.9 21.8 20.5 23.4
  1. Note: Lower and upper denote the boundaries of the 95% uncertainty interval from Bayesian posterior distribution