Table 3 The estimated impacts of each privatisation scenario on alcohol-related harm based on the International Model of Alcohol Harms and Policies
Harm measure | Total Sweden 2014 | Scenario 1 extraa (95% CIs) | Scenario 2 extraa (95% CIs) |
|---|---|---|---|
Alcohol attributable deaths | |||
Cancers | 712 | 138 (106, 172) | 219 (175, 263) |
Mental health | 243 | 50 (40, 59) | 70 (59, 78) |
Cardiovascular | − 452 | 305 (226, 391) | 516 (398, 641) |
Digestive | 394 | 134 (100, 169) | 220 (172, 270) |
Injuries | 651 | 119 (91, 145) | 183 (147, 215) |
Infectious diseases | 80 | 17 (13, 22) | 27 (22, 33) |
Type 2 diabetes | −133 | −6 (−5, −7) | −9 (−7, − 10) |
Total deaths: N (95% | 1629 | 763 (576–957) | 1234 (974, 1501) |
CIs) % Change (95% CIs) | – | + 47% (35, 59%) | + 76% (60, 92%) |
Alcohol attributable hospital stays | |||
Cancers | 3068 | 668 (509, 832) | 1060 (846, 1277) |
Mental health | 28,172 | 5635 (4513, 6661) | 7874 (6741, 8807) |
Cardiovascular | − 7934 | 1574 (1193, 1970) | 2525 (2002, 3053) |
Digestive | 1972 | 550 (415, 693) | 896 (705, 1094) |
Injuries | 10,565 | 1928 (1478, 2361) | 2973 (2398, 3507) |
Infectious diseases | 2249 | 503 (385, 623) | 790 (633, 947) |
Type 2 diabetes | − 373 | −12 (−9, −14) | −16 (− 14, − 18) |
Total stays: N (95% CIs) | 38,091 | 10,859 (8493, 13,140) | 16,118 (13,325, 18,685) |
% Change (95% CIs) | – | + 29% (22, 34%) | + 42% (35, 49%) |