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Table 2 Estimated 95% Confidence Intervals around changes in recorded per capita consumption for each lever and overall change in consumption for each scenario

From: Estimating the public health impact of disbanding a government alcohol monopoly: application of new methods to the case of Sweden

Lever

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Density of outlets

9.47% (7.44–11.58%)

16.43% (14.71–18.19%)

Sunday trading

1.01% (−3.21–5.27%)

1.18% (CI -3.70-6.24%)

Extended opening hours

3.83% (3.31–4.36%)

4.82% (CI 4.15–5.48%)

Mean price

−2.83% (− 3.91%- -1.73%)

−1.41% (− 1.96%- -0.88%)

Minimum price

13.34% (10.24–16.44%)

16.67% (12.86–20.55%)

Promotions

2.50% (0.27–4.75%)

5.00% (0.58–9.50%)

Overall change in per capita consumption (recorded & unrecorded)

19.99% (15.34–24.73%)

31.23% (25.12–37.33%)