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Table 2 Relative risk of child death from Cox proportional hazards regression of child death, Africa Centre for Demographic Information System, South Africa 2000–2014

From: Effect of timing of mother’s death on child survival in a rural HIV hyper-endemic South African population

 

Univariable

Multivariate

Hazards Ratio

95% CI

p-value

hazards Ratio

95% CI

p-value

Time after Mother’s Death

 < 6 weeks

8.23

4.14–12.5

< 0.001

3.45

1.34–6.54

< 0.001

 6 weeks - < 18 months

6.45

3.27–9.13

< 0.001

2.21

1.17–4.25

< 0.001

 18 months - < 3 years

3.18

1.98–6.59

< 0.001

1.58

1.03–3.19

< 0.001

 3 years - < 8 years

0.11

0.05–8.63

0.512

0.79

0.23–6.34

0.142

  ≥ 8 years

1

  

1

  

Socio economic status

 Poor

1.01

0.831–1.233

0.906

2.12

1.25–5.32

0.041

 Medium

0.404

0.318–0.514

< 0.001

0.42

0.11–1.58

0.261

 Unknown

0.400

0.337–0.475

< 0.001

0.22

0.02–2.67

0.345

 Rich

1

  

1

  

Age of child

  < 1 week

3.245

1.267–5.782

< 0.001

1.724

1.012–3.981

0.045

 1 week - < 1 month

3.781

1.762–6.532

< 0.001

2.341

1.287–4.982

0.036

 1 month - <6 months

1.246

1.010–3.529

0.045

1.642

1.121–3.762

0.023

 6 months - < 1 year

1.672

1.451–3.987

0.023

1.071

0.872–3.712

0.178

 1 year - < 2 years

1.213

0.672–4.218

0.136

0.876

0.291–3.751

0.122

  ≥ 2–10 years

1

  

1

  

Woman’s HIV Status

 Positive

1.458

1.286–1.654

< 0.001

0.954

0.702–1.297

0.765

 Negative

1

  

1

  

Child HIV Status

 Positive

1.567

1.03–3.561

0.012

1.23

0.45–3.57

0.089

 Negative

1

  

1

  

Multiple births

 Yes

1.431

0.643–2.653

0.091

   

 No

1

     

Father Vital Status

 Died

1.867

0.135–2.893

0.358

   

 Alive

1

     

Child sex

 Male

1.06

0.84–1.02

0.950

   

 Female

1

     
  1. Cox regression model of child death on months after mother’s death, socio economic status, mother’s HIV status and sex. Unit of analysis is ‘child-month’. Explanatory variables defined at beginning of each month; child death can occur at any time within the month
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BMC Public Health

ISSN: 1471-2458

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