Table 5 Sensitivity analysis for estimates of heart failure indirect costs in Poland (2015) according to varying assumptions regarding model parameters
From: Indirect costs and public finance consequences of heart failure in Poland, 2012–2015
Total indirect costs (€) | Change from base scenario | |
|---|---|---|
Base scenario (BS) | 945,335,000 | – |
Discount rate (BS: 5%) | ||
0% | 1,217,148,974 | 28.8% |
3.5% | 1,007,078,204 | 6.5% |
Exchange rate (BS: 4.19 zlotys per €) | ||
3.98 | 994,166,151 | 5.2% |
4.51 | 877,139,348 | − 7.2% |
Coefficient to adjust for decreasing marginal labour productivity (BS: 0.65) | ||
0.6 | 872,616,923 | − 7.7% |
0.7 | 1,018,053,077 | 7.7% |
Rate of productivity reduction for presenteeism of the sick (BS: 22.7%) | ||
18.2% (− 20%) | 905,484,627 | − 4.2% |
27.2% (+ 20%) | 985,185,374 | 4.2% |
Number of caregivers’ absence days (BS: 2966) | ||
1780 (−40%) | 945,244,014 | 0.0% |
4152 (+ 40%) | 945,425,979 | 0.0% |
Productivity measure (BS: Per worker gross domestic product) | ||
Per worker gross value added | 837,361,164 | − 11.4% |
Number of people with HF at working age (BS: 212987) | ||
170,389 (−20%) | 902,511,375 | −4.5% |
255,584 (+ 20%) | 988,158,626 | 4.5% |
Number of deaths due to HF (BS: 5633) | ||
4506 (−20%) | 830,900,512 | −12,1% |