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Table 4 Binary logistic regression on drop out (yes/no) in sports – TENNIS (N = 1195)

From: Time-use and environmental determinants of dropout from organized youth football and tennis

Outcome = Dropout vs Member

Model 1 (socio-demographic factors)

Model 2 (model 1 + time use factors)

Model 3 (model 2 + environmental factors)

Model 4 (model 3 + motivational orientation)

Exp (B)

95% CI

P

Exp (B)

95% CI

P

Exp (B)

95%

P

Exp (B)

95% CI

P

Constant

1.71

 

0.005

0.58

 

0.111

0.67

 

0.257

0.63

 

0.208

Control variables

 Age (17–21 = ref)

  13–16

1.14

0.83–1.56

0.424

0.96

0.64–1.45

0.852

0.96

0.64–1.45

0.853

0.95

0.63–1.43

0.808

 Sex (male = ref)

0.70

0.55–0.89

0.003

0.74

0.54–1.00

0.049

0.75

0.55–1.01

0.061

0.74

0.55–1.02

0.063

 Current education (high = ref)

  

0.165

  

0.039

  

0.107

  

0.093

  No

0.54

0.27–1.08

0.080

0.91

0.37–2.23

0.837

0.86

0.35–2.11

0.74

0.83

0.34–2.04

0.682

  Low

1.09

0.75–1.60

0.640

1.42

0.86–2.32

0.169

1.28

0.78–2.11

0.336

1.21

0.73–2.00

0.464

  Middle

1.19

0.83–1.72

0.343

2.00

1.21–3.31

0.007

1.78

1.07–2.96

0.026

1.77

1.06–2.94

0.028

 Played in selection (team) (no = ref)

0.45

0.35–0.58

0.000

0.53

0.38–0.74

0

0.57

0.40–0.79

0.001

0.59

0.42–0.82

0.002

Time use factors

 Time use indicators at this moment (average hrs per week)

  Tennis/football outside sports club

   

0.27

0.22–0.34

0

0.27

0.22–0.34

0

0.28

0.22–0.34

0

  Other sports

   

1.22

1.15–1.29

0

1.22

1.15–1.29

0

1.22

1.15–1.29

0

  Other (fixed) hobbies

   

1.03

0.97–1.10

0.375

1.03

0.97–1.10

0.326

1.04

0.97–1.11

0.277

  School/study and homework

   

1.00

0.99–1.01

0.756

1.00

0.99–1.01

0.726

1.00

0.99–1.01

0.84

  (Part-time) job

   

1.02

1.00–1.03

0.135

1.02

1.00–1.04

0.108

1.02

1.00–1.04

0.12

  Social activities (no of times)

   

1.16

1.04–1.31

0.011

1.16

1.03–1.31

0.013

1.17

1.04–1.32

0.01

 Time spent on side activities at sports club past season (hrs)

   

0.97

0.94–0.99

0.014

0.97

0.94–1.00

0.019

0.97

0.94–1.00

0.028

 Changes in job/school situation since past season

  Got job/increased work hrs (no = ref)

   

0.45

0.29–0.72

0.001

0.47

0.29–0.74

0.001

0.48

0.30–0.76

0.002

  Changed schools/further educ. (no = ref)

   

2.96

2.04–4.28

0

2.97

2.04–4.31

0

2.92

2.01–4.26

0

Environmental factors

 Travel distance to sports club (km)

      

0.97

0.94–0.99

0.007

0.96

0.94–0.99

0.006

 Neighbourhood density (strong – extremely urbanized = ref)

        

0.684

  

0.72

  Rural

      

0.94

0.63–1.40

0.761

0.98

0.65–1.46

0.901

  Hardly – moderately urbanized

      

1.10

0.77–1.57

0.599

1.12

0.78–1.60

0.544

Motivational factors

 Task orientation

         

0.84

0.71–0.99

0.032

 Ego orientation

         

0.90

0.77–1.05

0.166

-2 Log likelihood

1595.78

  

1082.24

  

1068.95

  

1062.54

  

Cox&Snell R2

0.05

  

8.49

  

0.39

  

0.93

  

Nagelkerke R2

0.073

  

0.51

  

0.52

  

0.52

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