From: Time-use and environmental determinants of dropout from organized youth football and tennis
Outcome = Dropout vs Member | Model 1 (socio-demographic factors) | Model 2 (model 1 + time use factors) | Model 3 (model 2 + environmental factors) | Model 4 (model 3 + motivational orientation) | ||||||||
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Exp (B) | 95% CI | P | Exp (B) | 95% CI | P | Exp (B) | 95% | P | Exp (B) | 95% CI | P | |
Constant | 1.71 | 0.005 | 0.58 | 0.111 | 0.67 | 0.257 | 0.63 | 0.208 | ||||
Control variables | ||||||||||||
Age (17–21 = ref) | ||||||||||||
13–16 | 1.14 | 0.83–1.56 | 0.424 | 0.96 | 0.64–1.45 | 0.852 | 0.96 | 0.64–1.45 | 0.853 | 0.95 | 0.63–1.43 | 0.808 |
Sex (male = ref) | 0.70 | 0.55–0.89 | 0.003 | 0.74 | 0.54–1.00 | 0.049 | 0.75 | 0.55–1.01 | 0.061 | 0.74 | 0.55–1.02 | 0.063 |
Current education (high = ref) | 0.165 | 0.039 | 0.107 | 0.093 | ||||||||
No | 0.54 | 0.27–1.08 | 0.080 | 0.91 | 0.37–2.23 | 0.837 | 0.86 | 0.35–2.11 | 0.74 | 0.83 | 0.34–2.04 | 0.682 |
Low | 1.09 | 0.75–1.60 | 0.640 | 1.42 | 0.86–2.32 | 0.169 | 1.28 | 0.78–2.11 | 0.336 | 1.21 | 0.73–2.00 | 0.464 |
Middle | 1.19 | 0.83–1.72 | 0.343 | 2.00 | 1.21–3.31 | 0.007 | 1.78 | 1.07–2.96 | 0.026 | 1.77 | 1.06–2.94 | 0.028 |
Played in selection (team) (no = ref) | 0.45 | 0.35–0.58 | 0.000 | 0.53 | 0.38–0.74 | 0 | 0.57 | 0.40–0.79 | 0.001 | 0.59 | 0.42–0.82 | 0.002 |
Time use factors | ||||||||||||
Time use indicators at this moment (average hrs per week) | ||||||||||||
Tennis/football outside sports club | 0.27 | 0.22–0.34 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.22–0.34 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.22–0.34 | 0 | |||
Other sports | 1.22 | 1.15–1.29 | 0 | 1.22 | 1.15–1.29 | 0 | 1.22 | 1.15–1.29 | 0 | |||
Other (fixed) hobbies | 1.03 | 0.97–1.10 | 0.375 | 1.03 | 0.97–1.10 | 0.326 | 1.04 | 0.97–1.11 | 0.277 | |||
School/study and homework | 1.00 | 0.99–1.01 | 0.756 | 1.00 | 0.99–1.01 | 0.726 | 1.00 | 0.99–1.01 | 0.84 | |||
(Part-time) job | 1.02 | 1.00–1.03 | 0.135 | 1.02 | 1.00–1.04 | 0.108 | 1.02 | 1.00–1.04 | 0.12 | |||
Social activities (no of times) | 1.16 | 1.04–1.31 | 0.011 | 1.16 | 1.03–1.31 | 0.013 | 1.17 | 1.04–1.32 | 0.01 | |||
Time spent on side activities at sports club past season (hrs) | 0.97 | 0.94–0.99 | 0.014 | 0.97 | 0.94–1.00 | 0.019 | 0.97 | 0.94–1.00 | 0.028 | |||
Changes in job/school situation since past season | ||||||||||||
Got job/increased work hrs (no = ref) | 0.45 | 0.29–0.72 | 0.001 | 0.47 | 0.29–0.74 | 0.001 | 0.48 | 0.30–0.76 | 0.002 | |||
Changed schools/further educ. (no = ref) | 2.96 | 2.04–4.28 | 0 | 2.97 | 2.04–4.31 | 0 | 2.92 | 2.01–4.26 | 0 | |||
Environmental factors | ||||||||||||
Travel distance to sports club (km) | 0.97 | 0.94–0.99 | 0.007 | 0.96 | 0.94–0.99 | 0.006 | ||||||
Neighbourhood density (strong – extremely urbanized = ref) | 0.684 | 0.72 | ||||||||||
Rural | 0.94 | 0.63–1.40 | 0.761 | 0.98 | 0.65–1.46 | 0.901 | ||||||
Hardly – moderately urbanized | 1.10 | 0.77–1.57 | 0.599 | 1.12 | 0.78–1.60 | 0.544 | ||||||
Motivational factors | ||||||||||||
Task orientation | 0.84 | 0.71–0.99 | 0.032 | |||||||||
Ego orientation | 0.90 | 0.77–1.05 | 0.166 | |||||||||
-2 Log likelihood | 1595.78 | 1082.24 | 1068.95 | 1062.54 | ||||||||
Cox&Snell R2 | 0.05 | 8.49 | 0.39 | 0.93 | ||||||||
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.073 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.52 |