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Table 3 Binary logistic regression on dropout (yes/no) in sports – FOOTBALL (N = 1360)

From: Time-use and environmental determinants of dropout from organized youth football and tennis

Outcome = Dropout vs Member

Model 1 (socio-demographic factors)

Model 2 (model 1 + time use factors)

Model 3 (model 2 + environmental factors)

Model 4 (model 3 + motivational orientation)

Exp (B)

95% CI

P

Exp (B)

95% CI

P

Exp (B)

95%

P

Exp (B)

95% CI

P

Constant

1.71

 

0.005

5.24

 

0

4.53

 

0

4.00

 

0

Control variables

 Age (17–22 = ref)

  13–16

0.48

0.36–0.64

0.000

0.90

0.62–1.32

0.597

0.90

0.61–1.31

0.597

0.90

0.61–1.33

0.598

 Sex (male = ref)

2.41

1.81–3.20

0.000

1.73

1.23–2.43

0.002

1.71

1.22–2.41

0.002

1.78

1.26–2.51

0.001

 Current education (high = ref)

     

0

  

0

  

0

  No

0.13

0.05–0.34

0.000

0.08

0.03–0.27

0

0.08

0.03–0.26

0

0.07

0.02–0.24

0

  Low

0.25

0.17–0.37

0.000

0.28

0.17–0.45

0

0.27

0.17–0.45

0

0.27

0.16–0.44

0

  Middle

0.27

0.18–0.41

0.000

0.30

0.18–0.50

0

0.30

0.18–0.50

0

0.29

0.17–0.49

0

 Played in selection (team) (no = ref)

0.46

0.35–0.61

0.000

0.68

0.48–0.95

0.023

0.67

0.48–0.94

0.022

0.70

0.50–0.99

0.041

Time use factors

 Time use indicators at this moment (average hrs per week)

  Tennis/football outside sports club

   

0.30

0.25–0.36

0

0.30

0.25–0.36

0

0.31

0.26–0.37

0

  Other sports

   

1.03

0.97–1.10

0.387

1.03

0.97–1.10

0.387

1.04

0.97–1.11

0.254

  Other (fixed) hobbies

   

1.04

0.98–1.11

0.206

1.04

0.98–1.11

0.21

1.04

0.98–1.11

0.205

  School/study and homework

   

0.99

0.98–1.0

0.187

0.99

0.98–1.00

0.176

0.99

0.98–1.01

0.212

  (Part-time) job

   

1.01

1.00–1.03

0.125

1.01

1.00–1.00

0.13

1.02

1.00–1.03

0.073

  Social activities (no of times)

   

0.97

0.86–1.09

0.599

0.97

0.86–1.09

0.593

0.98

0.86–1.10

0.687

 Time spent on side activities at sports club past season (hrs)

   

0.89

0.81–0.89

0.019

0.89

0.81–0.98

0.016

0.89

0.81–0.98

0.019

 Changes in job/school situation since past season

  Got job/increased work hrs (no = ref)

   

0.70

0.46–1.06

0.089

0.69

0.46–1.05

0.083

0.67

0.44–1.02

0.064

  Changed schools/further educ. (no = ref)

   

0.80

0.53–1.21

0.294

0.81

0.53–1.22

0.31

0.78

0.51–1.20

0.255

Environmental factors

 Travel distance to sports club (km)

      

1.00

0.99–1.01

0.878

1.00

0.99–1.01

0.832

 Neighbourhood density (strong – extremely urbanized = ref)

      

1.23

 

0.42

1.19

 

0.484

  Rural

      

1.29

0.82–1.85

0.314

1.27

0.80–1.80

0.393

  Hardly – moderately urbanized

      

4.53

0.87–1.92

0.203

0.77

0.85–1.90

0.236

Motivational factors

 Task orientation

         

0.85

0.66–0.89

0

 Ego orientation

         

4.00

0.73–1.00

0.047

-2 Log likelihood

1332.57

  

977.88

  

976.13

  

960.20

  

Cox&Snell R2

0.14

  

0.34

  

0.34

  

0.35

  

Nagelkerke R2

0.21

  

0.50

  

0.50

  

0.51

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