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Table 1 Estimated odds ratios of state occupation along with 95% confidence bands at several time points for a set of covariates given by age, gender, race/ethnicity, CCI and dual eligibility. For age and CCI variables, the odds ratio is defined as the ratio of odds for a unit increment of the variable. For gender, race/ethnicity and dual eligibility the ratio is calculated relative to males, whites, and ineligibility, respectively

From: Progression of diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and chronic kidney disease in a three chronic conditions multistate model

State

Days

Age

Gender (Female vs. Males)

Race/Ethnicity

CCI

Dual Eligibility

Asian vs. White

NHPI vs. White

Others vs. White

DM

0

0.960 (0.957, 0.963)

1.431 (1.356, 1.511)

1.713 (1.589, 1.847)

1.890 (1.753, 2.038)

1.745 (1.613, 1.886)

0.782 (0.759, 0.805)

0.931 (0.862, 1.005)

365

0.962 (0.960, 0.965)

1.550 (1.464, 1.640)

1.636 (1.512, 1.769)

1.867 (1.725, 2.020)

1.653 (1.523, 1.794)

0.754 (0.728, 0.781)

0.892 (0.823, 0.966)

730

0.962 (0.959, 0.965)

1.582 (1.493, 1.676)

1.599 (1.476, 1.733)

1.857 (1.714, 2.013)

1.634 (1.503, 1.777)

0.752 (0.725, 0.780)

0.863 (0.795, 0.936)

1095

0.961 (0.959, 0.964)

1.603 (1.512, 1.700)

1.571 (1.449, 1.704)

1.816 (1.675, 1.970)

1.605 (1.475, 1.747)

0.753 (0.725, 0.781)

0.860 (0.792, 0.934)

1460

0.960 (0.958, 0.963)

1.601 (1.510, 1.698)

1.577 (1.453, 1.712)

1.837 (1.693, 1.993)

1.623 (1.491, 1.766)

0.755 (0.728, 0.784)

0.848 (0.781, 0.922)

IHD

0

1.027 (1.024, 1.030)

0.833 (0.788, 0.881)

0.506 (0.470, 0.545)

0.572 (0.531, 0.617)

0.529 (0.488, 0.572)

1.045 (1.024, 1.067)

1.067 (0.986, 1.155)

365

1.018 (1.015, 1.021)

0.952 (0.897, 1.010)

0.504 (0.466, 0.545)

0.558 (0.515, 0.604)

0.499 (0.459, 0.544)

1.003 (0.981, 1.026)

0.971 (0.891, 1.057)

730

1.015 (1.012, 1.018)

0.968 (0.911, 1.028)

0.505 (0.465, 0.547)

0.566 (0.522, 0.613)

0.508 (0.466, 0.554)

0.996 (0.973, 1.019)

0.926 (0.848, 1.011)

1095

1.013 (1.010, 1.016)

0.983 (0.924, 1.045)

0.499 (0.460, 0.541)

0.566 (0.521, 0.614)

0.504 (0.462, 0.551)

0.997 (0.974, 1.021)

0.888 (0.811, 0.971)

1460

1.012 (1.008, 1.015)

0.996 (0.936, 1.060)

0.499 (0.459, 0.541)

0.568 (0.523, 0.617)

0.499 (0.457, 0.546)

0.998 (0.974, 1.022)

0.878 (0.802, 0.962)

CKD

0

1.023 (1.020, 1.026)

0.996 (0.936, 1.061)

1.007 (0.927, 1.095)

0.865 (0.793, 0.944)

0.957 (0.875, 1.047)

1.198 (1.173, 1.223)

1.067 (0.977, 1.164)

365

1.019 (1.016, 1.023)

1.126 (1.051, 1.207)

0.926 (0.845, 1.014)

0.832 (0.756, 0.916)

0.895 (0.810, 0.988)

1.070 (1.046, 1.096)

1.010 (0.916, 1.114)

730

1.017 (1.013, 1.020)

1.153 (1.072, 1.239)

0.909 (0.826, 1.000)

0.839 (0.760, 0.927)

0.881 (0.795, 0.977)

1.056 (1.030, 1.082)

0.981 (0.885, 1.087)

1095

1.015 (1.011, 1.019)

1.134 (1.053, 1.220)

0.900 (0.817, 0.992)

0.848 (0.766, 0.938)

0.881 (0.793, 0.979)

1.057 (1.031, 1.084)

0.983 (0.885, 1.091)

1460

1.013 (1.010, 1.017)

1.138 (1.057, 1.226)

0.904 (0.820, 0.997)

0.836 (0.755, 0.925)

0.881 (0.793, 0.980)

1.061 (1.035, 1.088)

0.959 (0.863, 1.066)

DM + IHD

365

0.991 (0.986, 0.997)

0.690 (0.612, 0.777)

0.943 (0.800, 1.110)

1.166 (0.995, 1.366)

1.114 (0.944, 1.314)

0.795 (0.735, 0.860)

1.154 (0.982, 1.356)

730

0.990 (0.985, 0.995)

0.736 (0.661, 0.819)

0.981 (0.846, 1.137)

1.160 (1.004, 1.340)

1.099 (0.945, 1.278)

0.801 (0.747, 0.859)

1.066 (0.918, 1.237)

1095

0.991 (0.986, 0.996)

0.743 (0.670, 0.825)

0.978 (0.847, 1.129)

1.210 (1.052, 1.391)

1.116 (0.964, 1.293)

0.797 (0.744, 0.853)

1.100 (0.953, 1.271)

1460

0.990 (0.985, 0.995)

0.779 (0.703, 0.864)

0.976 (0.846, 1.126)

1.192 (1.038, 1.370)

1.081 (0.933, 1.252)

0.792 (0.739, 0.849)

1.060 (0.918, 1.225)

DM + CKD

365

0.975 (0.969, 0.980)

0.916 (0.809, 1.037)

1.794 (1.498, 2.148)

1.527 (1.265, 1.843)

1.903 (1.583, 2.288)

0.827 (0.764, 0.895)

0.874 (0.733, 1.042)

730

0.975 (0.970, 0.980)

1.017 (0.907, 1.141)

1.719 (1.457, 2.027)

1.528 (1.288, 1.813)

1.717 (1.448, 2.037)

0.810 (0.750, 0.874)

0.866 (0.735, 1.019)

1095

0.976 (0.971, 0.981)

1.069 (0.955, 1.196)

1.736 (1.476, 2.043)

1.562 (1.320, 1.848)

1.745 (1.475, 2.064)

0.810 (0.752, 0.873)

0.868 (0.740, 1.019)

1460

0.976 (0.971, 0.981)

1.001 (0.898, 1.117)

1.803 (1.540, 2.111)

1.607 (1.365, 1.891)

1.813 (1.540, 2.134)

0.799 (0.742, 0.860)

0.914 (0.784, 1.065)

HD + CKD

365

1.042 (1.034, 1.049)

0.654 (0.564, 0.758)

0.809 (0.670, 0.978)

0.728 (0.594, 0.892)

0.846 (0.687, 1.041)

1.017 (0.965, 1.071)

1.331 (1.095, 1.619)

730

1.037 (1.031, 1.044)

0.757 (0.662, 0.864)

0.758 (0.637, 0.902)

0.758 (0.633, 0.909)

0.792 (0.655, 0.957)

1.007 (0.959, 1.057)

1.236 (1.031, 1.483)

1095

1.034 (1.027, 1.040)

0.768 (0.676, 0.872)

0.755 (0.640, 0.891)

0.744 (0.626, 0.885)

0.815 (0.681, 0.975)

1.003 (0.957, 1.051)

1.133 (0.949, 1.353)

1460

1.033 (1.027, 1.040)

0.786 (0.693, 0.893)

0.744 (0.630, 0.878)

0.732 (0.616, 0.870)

0.816 (0.683, 0.975)

0.984 (0.936, 1.034)

1.143 (0.959, 1.364)

DM + IHD + CKD

365

0.977 (0.968, 0.986)

0.513 (0.409, 0.643)

1.784 (1.323, 2.407)

1.460 (1.063, 2.005)

1.496 (1.085, 2.063)

0.862 (0.761, 0.976)

1.207 (0.911, 1.599)

730

0.980 (0.973, 0.987)

0.528 (0.442, 0.630)

1.729 (1.361, 2.197)

1.316 (1.016, 1.706)

1.852 (1.450, 2.365)

0.846 (0.764, 0.936)

1.347 (1.085, 1.673)

1095

0.979 (0.973, 0.986)

0.521 (0.442, 0.613)

1.792 (1.437, 2.235)

1.414 (1.118, 1.789)

1.739 (1.382, 2.188)

0.785 (0.703, 0.877)

1.172 (0.952, 1.442)

1460

0.980 (0.974, 0.987)

0.524 (0.446, 0.616)

1.665 (1.336, 2.075)

1.368 (1.084, 1.725)

1.859 (1.488, 2.322)

0.751 (0.667, 0.846)

1.102 (0.894, 1.358)

Death

365

1.081 (1.075, 1.088)

0.654 (0.584, 0.733)

0.869 (0.751, 1.006)

0.816 (0.696, 0.957)

0.932 (0.790, 1.101)

1.477 (1.441, 1.514)

1.485 (1.279, 1.723)

730

1.078 (1.072, 1.083)

0.632 (0.573, 0.697)

0.883 (0.780, 1.000)

0.747 (0.651, 0.857)

0.888 (0.771, 1.022)

1.450 (1.416, 1.485)

1.631 (1.438, 1.851)

1095

1.077 (1.072, 1.081)

0.658 (0.601, 0.720)

0.899 (0.801, 1.009)

0.755 (0.665, 0.858)

0.909 (0.798, 1.036)

1.417 (1.385, 1.451)

1.695 (1.508, 1.905)

1460

1.077 (1.072, 1.081)

0.653 (0.599, 0.712)

0.924 (0.827, 1.033)

0.806 (0.714, 0.910)

0.937 (0.827, 1.062)

1.394 (1.362, 1.427)

1.784 (1.597, 1.994)