Table 1 Estimated odds ratios of state occupation along with 95% confidence bands at several time points for a set of covariates given by age, gender, race/ethnicity, CCI and dual eligibility. For age and CCI variables, the odds ratio is defined as the ratio of odds for a unit increment of the variable. For gender, race/ethnicity and dual eligibility the ratio is calculated relative to males, whites, and ineligibility, respectively
From: Progression of diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and chronic kidney disease in a three chronic conditions multistate model
|
State
|
Days
|
Age
|
Gender (Female vs. Males)
|
Race/Ethnicity
|
CCI
|
Dual Eligibility
|
|---|
|
Asian vs. White
|
NHPI vs. White
|
Others vs. White
|
|---|
|
DM
|
0
|
0.960 (0.957, 0.963)
|
1.431 (1.356, 1.511)
|
1.713 (1.589, 1.847)
|
1.890 (1.753, 2.038)
|
1.745 (1.613, 1.886)
|
0.782 (0.759, 0.805)
|
0.931 (0.862, 1.005)
|
|
365
|
0.962 (0.960, 0.965)
|
1.550 (1.464, 1.640)
|
1.636 (1.512, 1.769)
|
1.867 (1.725, 2.020)
|
1.653 (1.523, 1.794)
|
0.754 (0.728, 0.781)
|
0.892 (0.823, 0.966)
|
|
730
|
0.962 (0.959, 0.965)
|
1.582 (1.493, 1.676)
|
1.599 (1.476, 1.733)
|
1.857 (1.714, 2.013)
|
1.634 (1.503, 1.777)
|
0.752 (0.725, 0.780)
|
0.863 (0.795, 0.936)
|
|
1095
|
0.961 (0.959, 0.964)
|
1.603 (1.512, 1.700)
|
1.571 (1.449, 1.704)
|
1.816 (1.675, 1.970)
|
1.605 (1.475, 1.747)
|
0.753 (0.725, 0.781)
|
0.860 (0.792, 0.934)
|
|
1460
|
0.960 (0.958, 0.963)
|
1.601 (1.510, 1.698)
|
1.577 (1.453, 1.712)
|
1.837 (1.693, 1.993)
|
1.623 (1.491, 1.766)
|
0.755 (0.728, 0.784)
|
0.848 (0.781, 0.922)
|
|
IHD
|
0
|
1.027 (1.024, 1.030)
|
0.833 (0.788, 0.881)
|
0.506 (0.470, 0.545)
|
0.572 (0.531, 0.617)
|
0.529 (0.488, 0.572)
|
1.045 (1.024, 1.067)
|
1.067 (0.986, 1.155)
|
|
365
|
1.018 (1.015, 1.021)
|
0.952 (0.897, 1.010)
|
0.504 (0.466, 0.545)
|
0.558 (0.515, 0.604)
|
0.499 (0.459, 0.544)
|
1.003 (0.981, 1.026)
|
0.971 (0.891, 1.057)
|
|
730
|
1.015 (1.012, 1.018)
|
0.968 (0.911, 1.028)
|
0.505 (0.465, 0.547)
|
0.566 (0.522, 0.613)
|
0.508 (0.466, 0.554)
|
0.996 (0.973, 1.019)
|
0.926 (0.848, 1.011)
|
|
1095
|
1.013 (1.010, 1.016)
|
0.983 (0.924, 1.045)
|
0.499 (0.460, 0.541)
|
0.566 (0.521, 0.614)
|
0.504 (0.462, 0.551)
|
0.997 (0.974, 1.021)
|
0.888 (0.811, 0.971)
|
|
1460
|
1.012 (1.008, 1.015)
|
0.996 (0.936, 1.060)
|
0.499 (0.459, 0.541)
|
0.568 (0.523, 0.617)
|
0.499 (0.457, 0.546)
|
0.998 (0.974, 1.022)
|
0.878 (0.802, 0.962)
|
|
CKD
|
0
|
1.023 (1.020, 1.026)
|
0.996 (0.936, 1.061)
|
1.007 (0.927, 1.095)
|
0.865 (0.793, 0.944)
|
0.957 (0.875, 1.047)
|
1.198 (1.173, 1.223)
|
1.067 (0.977, 1.164)
|
|
365
|
1.019 (1.016, 1.023)
|
1.126 (1.051, 1.207)
|
0.926 (0.845, 1.014)
|
0.832 (0.756, 0.916)
|
0.895 (0.810, 0.988)
|
1.070 (1.046, 1.096)
|
1.010 (0.916, 1.114)
|
|
730
|
1.017 (1.013, 1.020)
|
1.153 (1.072, 1.239)
|
0.909 (0.826, 1.000)
|
0.839 (0.760, 0.927)
|
0.881 (0.795, 0.977)
|
1.056 (1.030, 1.082)
|
0.981 (0.885, 1.087)
|
|
1095
|
1.015 (1.011, 1.019)
|
1.134 (1.053, 1.220)
|
0.900 (0.817, 0.992)
|
0.848 (0.766, 0.938)
|
0.881 (0.793, 0.979)
|
1.057 (1.031, 1.084)
|
0.983 (0.885, 1.091)
|
|
1460
|
1.013 (1.010, 1.017)
|
1.138 (1.057, 1.226)
|
0.904 (0.820, 0.997)
|
0.836 (0.755, 0.925)
|
0.881 (0.793, 0.980)
|
1.061 (1.035, 1.088)
|
0.959 (0.863, 1.066)
|
|
DM + IHD
|
365
|
0.991 (0.986, 0.997)
|
0.690 (0.612, 0.777)
|
0.943 (0.800, 1.110)
|
1.166 (0.995, 1.366)
|
1.114 (0.944, 1.314)
|
0.795 (0.735, 0.860)
|
1.154 (0.982, 1.356)
|
|
730
|
0.990 (0.985, 0.995)
|
0.736 (0.661, 0.819)
|
0.981 (0.846, 1.137)
|
1.160 (1.004, 1.340)
|
1.099 (0.945, 1.278)
|
0.801 (0.747, 0.859)
|
1.066 (0.918, 1.237)
|
|
1095
|
0.991 (0.986, 0.996)
|
0.743 (0.670, 0.825)
|
0.978 (0.847, 1.129)
|
1.210 (1.052, 1.391)
|
1.116 (0.964, 1.293)
|
0.797 (0.744, 0.853)
|
1.100 (0.953, 1.271)
|
|
1460
|
0.990 (0.985, 0.995)
|
0.779 (0.703, 0.864)
|
0.976 (0.846, 1.126)
|
1.192 (1.038, 1.370)
|
1.081 (0.933, 1.252)
|
0.792 (0.739, 0.849)
|
1.060 (0.918, 1.225)
|
|
DM + CKD
|
365
|
0.975 (0.969, 0.980)
|
0.916 (0.809, 1.037)
|
1.794 (1.498, 2.148)
|
1.527 (1.265, 1.843)
|
1.903 (1.583, 2.288)
|
0.827 (0.764, 0.895)
|
0.874 (0.733, 1.042)
|
|
730
|
0.975 (0.970, 0.980)
|
1.017 (0.907, 1.141)
|
1.719 (1.457, 2.027)
|
1.528 (1.288, 1.813)
|
1.717 (1.448, 2.037)
|
0.810 (0.750, 0.874)
|
0.866 (0.735, 1.019)
|
|
1095
|
0.976 (0.971, 0.981)
|
1.069 (0.955, 1.196)
|
1.736 (1.476, 2.043)
|
1.562 (1.320, 1.848)
|
1.745 (1.475, 2.064)
|
0.810 (0.752, 0.873)
|
0.868 (0.740, 1.019)
|
|
1460
|
0.976 (0.971, 0.981)
|
1.001 (0.898, 1.117)
|
1.803 (1.540, 2.111)
|
1.607 (1.365, 1.891)
|
1.813 (1.540, 2.134)
|
0.799 (0.742, 0.860)
|
0.914 (0.784, 1.065)
|
|
HD + CKD
|
365
|
1.042 (1.034, 1.049)
|
0.654 (0.564, 0.758)
|
0.809 (0.670, 0.978)
|
0.728 (0.594, 0.892)
|
0.846 (0.687, 1.041)
|
1.017 (0.965, 1.071)
|
1.331 (1.095, 1.619)
|
|
730
|
1.037 (1.031, 1.044)
|
0.757 (0.662, 0.864)
|
0.758 (0.637, 0.902)
|
0.758 (0.633, 0.909)
|
0.792 (0.655, 0.957)
|
1.007 (0.959, 1.057)
|
1.236 (1.031, 1.483)
|
|
1095
|
1.034 (1.027, 1.040)
|
0.768 (0.676, 0.872)
|
0.755 (0.640, 0.891)
|
0.744 (0.626, 0.885)
|
0.815 (0.681, 0.975)
|
1.003 (0.957, 1.051)
|
1.133 (0.949, 1.353)
|
|
1460
|
1.033 (1.027, 1.040)
|
0.786 (0.693, 0.893)
|
0.744 (0.630, 0.878)
|
0.732 (0.616, 0.870)
|
0.816 (0.683, 0.975)
|
0.984 (0.936, 1.034)
|
1.143 (0.959, 1.364)
|
|
DM + IHD + CKD
|
365
|
0.977 (0.968, 0.986)
|
0.513 (0.409, 0.643)
|
1.784 (1.323, 2.407)
|
1.460 (1.063, 2.005)
|
1.496 (1.085, 2.063)
|
0.862 (0.761, 0.976)
|
1.207 (0.911, 1.599)
|
|
730
|
0.980 (0.973, 0.987)
|
0.528 (0.442, 0.630)
|
1.729 (1.361, 2.197)
|
1.316 (1.016, 1.706)
|
1.852 (1.450, 2.365)
|
0.846 (0.764, 0.936)
|
1.347 (1.085, 1.673)
|
|
1095
|
0.979 (0.973, 0.986)
|
0.521 (0.442, 0.613)
|
1.792 (1.437, 2.235)
|
1.414 (1.118, 1.789)
|
1.739 (1.382, 2.188)
|
0.785 (0.703, 0.877)
|
1.172 (0.952, 1.442)
|
|
1460
|
0.980 (0.974, 0.987)
|
0.524 (0.446, 0.616)
|
1.665 (1.336, 2.075)
|
1.368 (1.084, 1.725)
|
1.859 (1.488, 2.322)
|
0.751 (0.667, 0.846)
|
1.102 (0.894, 1.358)
|
|
Death
|
365
|
1.081 (1.075, 1.088)
|
0.654 (0.584, 0.733)
|
0.869 (0.751, 1.006)
|
0.816 (0.696, 0.957)
|
0.932 (0.790, 1.101)
|
1.477 (1.441, 1.514)
|
1.485 (1.279, 1.723)
|
|
730
|
1.078 (1.072, 1.083)
|
0.632 (0.573, 0.697)
|
0.883 (0.780, 1.000)
|
0.747 (0.651, 0.857)
|
0.888 (0.771, 1.022)
|
1.450 (1.416, 1.485)
|
1.631 (1.438, 1.851)
|
|
1095
|
1.077 (1.072, 1.081)
|
0.658 (0.601, 0.720)
|
0.899 (0.801, 1.009)
|
0.755 (0.665, 0.858)
|
0.909 (0.798, 1.036)
|
1.417 (1.385, 1.451)
|
1.695 (1.508, 1.905)
|
|
1460
|
1.077 (1.072, 1.081)
|
0.653 (0.599, 0.712)
|
0.924 (0.827, 1.033)
|
0.806 (0.714, 0.910)
|
0.937 (0.827, 1.062)
|
1.394 (1.362, 1.427)
|
1.784 (1.597, 1.994)
|
