Fig. 5From: Exploiting routinely collected severe case data to monitor and predict influenza outbreaksProspective analysis, informative scenario. The black line displays the analysis time; the blue line and green shaded area represent median, quartile (dark green) and 95% CrIs (light green) of the posterior predictive distribution for the training dataset weeks. The pink area displays posterior quartiles (deep pink) and 95% CrIs (light pink) for the predicted future observations, and the purple line displays the median; the red dots are the training data and the yellow dots are the observations we have predictedBack to article page