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Fig. 3 | BMC Public Health

Fig. 3

From: Exploiting routinely collected severe case data to monitor and predict influenza outbreaks

Fig. 3

Retrospective analysis, uninformative scenario. Prior (red) and posterior (blue) distributions of: the initial susceptibility (π); the over-dispersion parameter (η); the probability of ICU admission given infection (p ICU ); the scaling parameter (κ); and the basic and effective reproduction number (R0 and R n ). The results are derived from season 2012/13 (left column), season 2013/14 (centre) and season 2014/15 (right column)

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