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Table 2 Risk factors for AIDS incidence at presentation among patients newly diagnosed with HIV infection

From: AIDS incidence trends at presentation and during follow-up among HIV-at-risk populations: a 15-year nationwide cohort study in Taiwan

 

Number of patients, n

Number of AIDS, n

%

Univariable analysis, crude OR (95% CI)

Multivariable analysis, adjusted OR (95% CI)

Age group

  ≤ 30

11,305

1445

12.8

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 31–40

6965

1594

22.9

2.03 (1.87–2.19)***

2.76 (2.53–3.01)***

 41–50

2962

886

29.9

2.91 (2.65–3.21)***

4.19 (3.74–4.69)***

  ≥ 51

1433

646

45.1

5.60 (4.98–6.30)***

4.64 (4.00–5.37)***

Sex

 Female

1580

257

16.3

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Male

21,085

4314

20.5

1.32 (1.15–1.52)***

1.39 (1.17–1.65)***

HIV-transmission route

 PWID

6646

154

2.3

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Bisexual contact

1898

572

30.1

18.19 (15.08–21.93)***

20.28 (16.59–24.79)***

 Heterosexual contact

4152

1592

38.3

26.22 (22.08–31.12)***

24.48 (20.39–29.39)***

 Homosexual contact

9779

2147

22.0

11.86 (10.04–14.01)***

16.02 (13.35–19.22)***

 Othera

190

106

55.8

53.19 (38.33–73.84)***

38.23 (26.94–54.24)***

Urbanization

 Rural

7384

1288

17.4

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Urban

15,281

3283

21.5

1.30 (1.21–1.39)***

0.96 (0.88–1.05)

Income level, n (%)

 Low

13,785

2328

16.9

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Intermediate

6421

1546

24.1

1.56 (1.45–1.68)***

0.99 (0.91–1.07)

 High

2459

697

28.3

1.95 (1.76–2.15)***

0.85 (0.76–0.94)**

Cohort period

 Period 1

1373

395

28.8

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Period 2

2262

451

19.9

0.62 (0.53–0.72)***

0.65 (0.55–0.77)***

 Period 3

7774

819

10.5

0.29 (0.25–0.34)***

0.87 (0.75–1.01)

 Period 4

5288

1274

24.1

0.79 (0.69–0.90)***

1.32 (1.15–1.53)***

 Period 5

5968

1632

27.4

0.93 (0.82–1.06)

1.33 (1.15–1.53)***

HIV-diagnosis region

 Taipei area

7899

1656

21.0

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Northern Taiwan

3212

608

18.9

0.88 (0.80–0.98)*

1.17 (1.05–1.32)**

 Central Taiwan

4081

839

20.6

0.98 (0.89–1.07)

1.25 (1.13–1.39)***

 Southern Taiwan

2687

525

19.5

0.92 (0.82–1.02)

1.26 (1.11–1.42)***

 Kaoping area

4311

817

19.0

0.88 (0.80–0.97)**

1.18 (1.06–1.32)**

 Eastern Taiwan

475

126

26.5

1.36 (1.10–1.69)**

1.27 (1.00–1.62)**

DM

 No

22,097

4362

19.7

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Yes

568

202

35.6

2.26 (1.90–2.69)***

1.04 (0.84–1.29)

CKD

 No

22,358

4456

19.9

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Yes

307

108

35.2

2.18 (1.72–2.76)***

1.28 (0.96–1.71)

CHF

 No

22,573

4522

20.0

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Yes

92

42

45.7

3.50 (2.32–5.27)***

1.41 (0.85–2.36)

COPD

 No

22,158

4522

19.6

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Yes

507

220

43.4

3.14 (2.62–3.75)***

1.63 (1.32–2.01)***

Cancer

 No

21,019

4061

19.3

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Yes

1646

503

30.6

1.85 (1.65–2.06)***

1.15 (1.02–1.30)*

CVD

 No

22,408

4459

19.9

1.0 (Reference)

1.0 (Reference)

 Yes

257

105

40.9

2.82 (2.20–3.62)***

1.33 (0.97–1.82)

  1. Note. *P < 0.05; ** P < 0.01; *** P < 0.001
  2. Abbreviation: AIDS acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; CHF chronic heart failure; CI confidence intervals; CKD chronic kidney disease; COPD chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CVD cardiovascular disease; DM diabetes mellitus; OR odd ratios; PWID people who injected drugs
  3. aIncludes those exposed to blood products, mother-to-child transmission, and unknown exposures