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Table 7 The lagged effectiveness of fiscal rules

From: Fiscal rules, powerful levers for controlling the health budget? Evidence from 32 OECD countries

 

Inflation adjusted government health care expenditure in log

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

 

Lag: 1 year

Lag: 2 years

FR

−0.04***

  

−0.05***

  
 

(0.01)

  

(0.01)

  

ER

 

−0.05***

  

−0.06***

 
  

(0.01)

  

(0.01)

 

BBR

  

−0.04***

  

−0.05***

   

(0.01)

  

(0.01)

Log debt

−0.04**

−0.03*

− 0.04**

− 0.04**

−0.03**

− 0.04**

 

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

Log GDP

0.77***

0.71***

0.77***

0.80***

0.70***

0.78***

 

(0.06)

(0.05)

(0.06)

(0.06)

(0.05)

(0.06)

Log population

0.14

0.22

0.11

0.10

0.23

0.08

 

(0.12)

(0.12)

(0.12)

(0.12)

(0.12)

(0.12)

IMF bailout

−0.03

−0.03

−0.03

−0.02

−0.03

−0.03

 

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

Constant

−12.82***

−12.35***

−12.43***

−12.77***

−12.22***

−12.24***

 

(1.62)

(1.61)

(1.62)

(1.61)

(1.60)

(1.61)

Country FE

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Year FE

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

N

717

717

717

717

717

717

adj. R2

0.997

0.997

0.997

0.997

0.997

0.997

  1. Standard errors are in parentheses
  2. *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001