Skip to main content

Table 2 The effects of LEB, income per capita, fertility, population density, CO2 emissions, HIV prevalence, and time on LEB decadal gains, 1950–2009, Fixed effects model

From: The slowing pace of life expectancy gains since 1950

 

LEB decade gains

Lowest Stratum (LEB < 51)

Stratum II (51 ≤ LEB < 61)

Stratum III (61 ≤ LEB < 71)

Highest Stratum (LEB ≥ 71)

Total

Decade 1960–69

−4.171*** (0.473)

−4.799*** (0.597)

−4.467*** (0.308)

−2.961*** (0.181)

−5.539*** (0.149)

Decade 1970–79

−6.385*** (0.597)

−7.567*** (0.644)

−5.657*** (0.377)

−1.982*** (0.183)

−7.449*** (0.189)

Decade 1980–89

−8.062*** (0.718)

− 10.54*** (0.687)

− 6.439*** (0.450)

− 1.693*** (0.194)

−9.055*** (0.238)

Decade 1990–99

−11.79*** (0.788)

− 12.31*** (0.735)

−7.633*** (0.504)

− 1.918*** (0.220)

− 10.34*** (0.292)

Decade 2000–09

− 8.491*** (0.982)

− 11.42*** (0.803)

− 7.283*** (0.585)

−1.893*** (0.264)

− 10.01*** (0.352)

Life Expectancy at Birth

2.004*** (0.132)

1.559*** (0.0812)

0.710*** (0.0903)

0.608*** (0.0693)

3.529*** (0.0753)

GDP per capita, 2005, PPP $

0.496*** (0.0940)

0.129** (0.0634)

0.130* (0.0788)

−0.0311 (0.0587)

−0.0520 (0.0439)

Population density per km2

−0.502** (0.195)

− 0.553*** (0.183)

− 0.882*** (0.0935)

−0.584*** (0.0492)

−1.496*** (0.100)

CO2 in tons per capita

0.0341 (0.110)

−0.0484 (0.0633)

−0.00566 (0.0706)

− 0.169*** (0.0295)

−0.175*** (0.0415)

Total Fertility Rate

−0.0836 (0.107)

−0.0781 (0.110)

0.107 (0.0893)

0.287*** (0.0372)

−0.0918* (0.0548)

HIV Prevalence

−0.355** (0.147)

−0.484*** (0.0910)

− 0.00773 (0.0747)

−0.0821** (0.0400)

− 0.427*** (0.0612)

Constant

8.956*** (0.543)

12.95*** (0.673)

9.408*** (0.404)

4.245*** (0.204)

10.93*** (0.233)

Observations

685

1460

1597

1908

6533

R-squared

0.551

0.552

0.337

0.321

0.478

Nro. of countries

34

63

81

63

139

Country Fixed Effects

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

  1. Standard errors in parentheses
  2. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1