From: Estimating disease burden of a potential A(H7N9) pandemic influenza outbreak in the United States
Description | H1N1 2009 (See Ref [7]) | H5N1 (See Ref [6]) | A(H7N9) (Current Paper) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Data used | surveillance data from U.S. outbreak | simulated outbreak in U.S. and England | Surveillance data from U.S. | Simulated outbreak in U.S. |
Method used | Extrapolation with Correction factors | AB simulation model | Proposed by CDC | AB simulation model and stratification |
NPIs (school & workplace closure, case isolation) | yes (with antiviral) | yes (with vaccine and antivirals) | no | yes |
Age-groups analysis | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Estimated IAR | 50% | 28% for R 0 = 1.7 | 5% - 10% in adults | 18.78% for R 0 = 1.5 |
34% for R 0 = 2.0 | 20% - 30% in children | 25.05% for R 0 = 1.8 |