Variables | Explanation | Values | Sources |
---|---|---|---|
Sh | Number of susceptible humans | - | - |
Eh | Number of exposed humans | - | - |
Ih | Number of infectious humans | - | - |
Rh | Number of recovered humans | - | - |
Sv | Number of susceptible mosquitoes | - | - |
Ev | Number of exposed mosquitoes | - | - |
Iv | Number of infectious mosquitoes | - | - |
Nh | Total human population size | 600,000 | statistic yearbook |
Nv | Total mosquito population size | - | - |
Ψh | Per capita birth rate of humans. Time−1 | 1/(70*360) | Estimation |
Sv(0) | Initial values of susceptible mosquitoes | 1,987,800 | MCMC Fitting |
Ev(0) | Initial values of exposed mosquitoes | 434 | MCMC Fitting |
Iv(0) | Initial values of infectious mosquitoes | 20 | MCMC Fitting |
δ | Reduction rate of mosquitoes due to control measures. Time_1 | varied | MCMC Fitting |
βhv | Effective contact rate from an infected human to a susceptible mosquito. Dimensionless | 0.576 | MCMC Fitting |
βvh | Effective contact rate from an infected mosquito to a susceptible human. Dimensionless | 0.426 | MCMC Fitting |
νh | Per capita rate of progression of humans from the exposed state to the infectious state. Time_1 | 1/5 | [13] |
νv | Per capita rate of progression of mosquitoes from the exposed state to the infectious state. Time_1 | 1/10 | [13] |
γh | Per capita recovery rate for humans from the infectious state to the recovered state. Time_1 | 1/6 | [13] |
μh | Per capita death (and emigration) rate for humans. Time_1 | 1/(70*360) | Estimation |
μv | Density-independent death rate for mosquitoes. Time_1 | 1/21 | [13] |
Kv | Carrying capacity of mosquitoes. Mosquitoes | 28,200 | MCMC Fitting |
rv | Natural growth rate of mosquitoes. Time_1 | 0.013 | MCMC Fitting |
A | Scale parameter | 0.373 | MCMC Fitting |