Skip to main content

Table 2 Trends in selected mortality indicators, Agincourt, South Africa, 1993–2013

From: Progression of the epidemiological transition in a rural South African setting: findings from population surveillance in Agincourt, 1993–2013

Sex Year Annual probability of dying (95% CI) Adult mortality rate (95% CI) Life Expectancy at birth (95% CI)
Female 1993 4.5 (3.8,5.2) 200.3 (159.7249.6) 73.7 (70.7,76.7)
1994 4.5 (3.8,5.2) 171.8 (134.2218.6) 73.2 (70.7,75.6)
1995 3.8 (3.2,4.5) 127.6 (93.6172.8) 74.8 (72.3,77.2)
1996 4.3 (3.6,5.0) 166.7 (127.6216.4) 74 (71.5,76.5)
1997 4.5 (3.9,5.2) 222.7 (180.1273.6) 74.6 (71.7,77.4)
1998 5.5 (4.8,6.3) 242 (202.2288.2) 70.6 (67.9,73.3)
1999 6.1 (5.3,6.9) 296.5 (254.2344.1) 69.3 (66.6,71.9)
2000 6.4 (5.6,7.2) 322.5 (275.3375.4) 67.7 (65.1,70.2)
2001 8.1 (7.3,9.1) 392 (347,440.6) 62.2 (59.8,64.5)
2002 8.7 (7.9,9.7) 469.2 (421.8519.3) 60.8 (58.3,63.2)
2003 9.6 (8.6,10.6) 463.5 (420.2509) 59.6 (57.2,62.1)
2004 9.4 (8.5,10.4) 503.3 (457.8550.8) 59.6 (57.2,62)
2005 11.3 (10.3,12.4) 536.4 (493.6580.5) 56.5 (54.3,58.7)
2006 9.9 (9.0,11.0) 476.2 (432,522.5) 59.7 (57.3,62)
2007 10.2 (9.3,11.2) 517.9 (474.6562.7) 58.6 (56.3,60.8)
2008 9.7 (8.8,10.6) 464.3 (422.8507.9) 60.4 (58.3,62.4)
2009 8.0 (7.3,8.9) 378.6 (338.3421.9) 65.3 (63.2,67.4)
2010 8.0 (7.2,8.8) 377.1 (337,420.3) 65.4 (63.3,67.5)
2011 7.9 (7.2,8.8) 359 (321.8399.2) 65.2 (63.1,67.3)
2012 7.2 (6.5,8) 317.2 (280.9357) 68.5 (66.4,70.5)
2013 6.7 (6,7.4) 294.9 (258.2335.5) 70.2 (68.2,72.3)
Male 1993 5.4 (4.7,6.3) 281.8 (229.5343.3) 67.8 (64.7,70.9)
1994 6 (5.2,6.9) 324.4 (267.8389.4) 63.6 (61.3,65.8)
1995 5 (4.3,5.8) 343.5 (284.6410.6) 67.2 (64.7,69.8)
1996 5.3 (4.6,6.2) 337.8 (282.7400.3) 66.9 (64,69.7)
1997 5.4 (4.7,6.3) 331 (277.1392.2) 65.7 (63.1,68.4)
1998 6.2 (5.4,7.1) 373 (317.6434.7) 64.4 (61.7,67)
1999 7.1 (6.3,8.1) 358.5 (306.6416.1) 62.3 (59.8,64.8)
2000 7 (6.2,8) 382 (328.9440.4) 62.3 (59.8,64.7)
2001 9.1 (8.1,10.1) 499.3 (446.5554.7) 57.2 (55,59.4)
2002 10.5 (9.5,11.7) 550.4 (499.3603) 53.6 (51.5,55.7)
2003 11.8 (10.7,12.9) 601.3 (552.8650.3) 51.7 (49.6,53.8)
2004 12 (10.9,13.2) 662.6 (615.9708.8) 51.3 (49.3,53.3)
2005 12.1 (11,13.3) 588.5 (541.2636.4) 52.3 (50.4,54.1)
2006 11.9 (10.9,13.1) 637.1 (591.5682.6) 52.1 (50.1,54)
2007 13.2 (12.1,14.4) 650 (607.3692.4) 49.9 (48.1,51.7)
2008 12.1 (11.1,13.2) 581.7 (539.4624.6) 52.1 (50.3,53.8)
2009 9.8 (9,10.8) 517.4 (473.2563.2) 56.6 (54.7,58.5)
2010 9.3 (8.5,10.3) 511.9 (466.4559.1) 57.6 (55.7,59.5)
2011 8.6 (7.8,9.5) 445.4 (398.7495.1) 59.8 (58,61.6)
2012 7.7 (6.9,8.5) 426.1 (380.2475) 61.5 (59.6,63.5)
2013 7.9 (7.2,8.8) 399.7 (355.4447.3) 61.3 (59.4,63.2)
  1. Adult mortality rate is the probability of dying between ages 15 and 59