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Table 2 Trends in selected mortality indicators, Agincourt, South Africa, 1993–2013

From: Progression of the epidemiological transition in a rural South African setting: findings from population surveillance in Agincourt, 1993–2013

Sex

Year

Annual probability of dying (95% CI)

Adult mortality rate (95% CI)

Life Expectancy at birth (95% CI)

Female

1993

4.5 (3.8,5.2)

200.3 (159.7249.6)

73.7 (70.7,76.7)

1994

4.5 (3.8,5.2)

171.8 (134.2218.6)

73.2 (70.7,75.6)

1995

3.8 (3.2,4.5)

127.6 (93.6172.8)

74.8 (72.3,77.2)

1996

4.3 (3.6,5.0)

166.7 (127.6216.4)

74 (71.5,76.5)

1997

4.5 (3.9,5.2)

222.7 (180.1273.6)

74.6 (71.7,77.4)

1998

5.5 (4.8,6.3)

242 (202.2288.2)

70.6 (67.9,73.3)

1999

6.1 (5.3,6.9)

296.5 (254.2344.1)

69.3 (66.6,71.9)

2000

6.4 (5.6,7.2)

322.5 (275.3375.4)

67.7 (65.1,70.2)

2001

8.1 (7.3,9.1)

392 (347,440.6)

62.2 (59.8,64.5)

2002

8.7 (7.9,9.7)

469.2 (421.8519.3)

60.8 (58.3,63.2)

2003

9.6 (8.6,10.6)

463.5 (420.2509)

59.6 (57.2,62.1)

2004

9.4 (8.5,10.4)

503.3 (457.8550.8)

59.6 (57.2,62)

2005

11.3 (10.3,12.4)

536.4 (493.6580.5)

56.5 (54.3,58.7)

2006

9.9 (9.0,11.0)

476.2 (432,522.5)

59.7 (57.3,62)

2007

10.2 (9.3,11.2)

517.9 (474.6562.7)

58.6 (56.3,60.8)

2008

9.7 (8.8,10.6)

464.3 (422.8507.9)

60.4 (58.3,62.4)

2009

8.0 (7.3,8.9)

378.6 (338.3421.9)

65.3 (63.2,67.4)

2010

8.0 (7.2,8.8)

377.1 (337,420.3)

65.4 (63.3,67.5)

2011

7.9 (7.2,8.8)

359 (321.8399.2)

65.2 (63.1,67.3)

2012

7.2 (6.5,8)

317.2 (280.9357)

68.5 (66.4,70.5)

2013

6.7 (6,7.4)

294.9 (258.2335.5)

70.2 (68.2,72.3)

Male

1993

5.4 (4.7,6.3)

281.8 (229.5343.3)

67.8 (64.7,70.9)

1994

6 (5.2,6.9)

324.4 (267.8389.4)

63.6 (61.3,65.8)

1995

5 (4.3,5.8)

343.5 (284.6410.6)

67.2 (64.7,69.8)

1996

5.3 (4.6,6.2)

337.8 (282.7400.3)

66.9 (64,69.7)

1997

5.4 (4.7,6.3)

331 (277.1392.2)

65.7 (63.1,68.4)

1998

6.2 (5.4,7.1)

373 (317.6434.7)

64.4 (61.7,67)

1999

7.1 (6.3,8.1)

358.5 (306.6416.1)

62.3 (59.8,64.8)

2000

7 (6.2,8)

382 (328.9440.4)

62.3 (59.8,64.7)

2001

9.1 (8.1,10.1)

499.3 (446.5554.7)

57.2 (55,59.4)

2002

10.5 (9.5,11.7)

550.4 (499.3603)

53.6 (51.5,55.7)

2003

11.8 (10.7,12.9)

601.3 (552.8650.3)

51.7 (49.6,53.8)

2004

12 (10.9,13.2)

662.6 (615.9708.8)

51.3 (49.3,53.3)

2005

12.1 (11,13.3)

588.5 (541.2636.4)

52.3 (50.4,54.1)

2006

11.9 (10.9,13.1)

637.1 (591.5682.6)

52.1 (50.1,54)

2007

13.2 (12.1,14.4)

650 (607.3692.4)

49.9 (48.1,51.7)

2008

12.1 (11.1,13.2)

581.7 (539.4624.6)

52.1 (50.3,53.8)

2009

9.8 (9,10.8)

517.4 (473.2563.2)

56.6 (54.7,58.5)

2010

9.3 (8.5,10.3)

511.9 (466.4559.1)

57.6 (55.7,59.5)

2011

8.6 (7.8,9.5)

445.4 (398.7495.1)

59.8 (58,61.6)

2012

7.7 (6.9,8.5)

426.1 (380.2475)

61.5 (59.6,63.5)

2013

7.9 (7.2,8.8)

399.7 (355.4447.3)

61.3 (59.4,63.2)

  1. Adult mortality rate is the probability of dying between ages 15 and 59