Table 1 Key model variables, mean value and 95% uncertainty intervals
Variables | Data source | ||||
Total population estimates (population numbers, mortality rates, BMI distribution) | ABS Census 2011 [38] | ||||
Disease epidemiology, relative risks, disability weights, total years of life lived with disability | GBD 2010 [43] | ||||
Disease healthcare costs | AIHW 2004 [45] | ||||
Transport mortality data | Australian Road Deaths Database [98] | ||||
Transport morbidity data | |||||
Variables | Mean values and 95% UIa (where applicable) | Data source and assumptions | |||
Prevalence of using public transport for commuting purposes | Males | Females | ABS Census 2011 [38] | ||
18y | 4.5% | 18y | 6.9% | ||
19y | 5.8% | 19y | 8% | ||
20-24y | 8.5% | 20-24y | 11.1% | ||
25-29y | 11.7% | 25-29y | 13.1% | ||
30-34y | 11.1% | 30-34y | 9.9% | ||
35-39y | 9.1% | 35-39y | 6.8% | ||
40-44y | 7.4% | 40-44y | 5.9% | ||
45-49y | 6.3% | 45-49y | 5.7% | ||
50-54y | 5.8% | 50-54y | 5.3% | ||
55-59y | 4.9% | 55-59y | 4.5% | ||
60-64y | 3.3% | 60-64y | 2.9% | ||
Cost of legislation (including RIS process) | AUD1,090,792 (95% UI AUD939,805–1,249,710) | Sampled from a gamma distribution, taken from estimates from Lal et al. [49]. | |||
ABS average weekly earnings | AUD1,241 (95% UI AUD1,126–1361) | Sampled from a gamma distribution (mean 1530.20, s.e. 44.8) Professional, Scientific and Technical Services full time adult average half-hour time cost and 14% labour oncosts, from Government sources [48, 50, 51]. | |||
Number of businesses affected | 185,959 (95% UI 172,747–199,317) | Sampled from a pert distribution (most likely = 186,097) quoted from Government source, +/−10% [48]. | |||
Total intervention cost | AUD4,381,691 (95% UI AUD3882,683–4,903,984) | ||||