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Table 2 Risk of CRC in the remaining lifetime of a 60-, 64-, 68-, 72- and 76-year old individual after one to eleven consecutive negative screens

From: Resilience of a FIT screening programme against screening fatigue: a modelling study

Number of consecutive negative screens

Lifetime risk of CRC (%) in a

60-year old

64-year old

68-year old

72-year old

76-year old

0a

6.3

6.0

5.6

5.1

4.4

1

5.2

5.2

5.0

4.6

4.1

2

4.7

4.7

4.6

4.3

3.9

3

3.9

4.2

4.2

4.0

3.6

4

b

3.7

3.7

3.6

3.3

5

b

3.0

3.3

3.2

3.0

6

b

b

2.8

2.8

2.7

7

b

b

2.2

2.4

2.4

8

b

b

b

2.0

2.0

9

b

b

b

1.5

1.7

10

b

b

b

b

1.3

11

b

b

b

b

1.3

  1. aNo screening scenario
  2. bWe assumed the individual would refrain from further screening