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Table 5 Joinpoint regression analysis of age-standardized mortality rates in 45–64 year-old Lithuanian men and women, 1985–2013

From: Trends in major risk factors and mortality from main non-communicable diseases in Lithuania, 1985–2013

Men

Women

Joinpoints (Years)

Time period

APC

95 % CI

p-value

Joinpoints (Years)

Time period

APC

95 % CI

p-value

All-cause mortality

 1995

1985–1995

+4.4

+3.0–+5.8

<0.001

1995

1985–1995

+2.3

+1.2–+3.4

<0.001

 1999

1996–1999

−6.3

−13.9–+2.0

0.123

2000

1996–2000

−4.7

−8.9– −0.2

0.040

 2007

2000–2007

+2.7

+0.4–+5.1

0.022

2007

2001–2007

+2.4

−0.1–+4.9

0.055

 

2008–2013

−4.9

−7.6– −2.2

0.001

 

2008–2013

−4.6

−6.9– −2.3

0.001

CVD mortality

 1994

1985–1994

+4.2

+2.7–+5.8

<0.001

1995

1985–1995

+1.9

+0.6–+3.2

0.005

 1998

1995–1998

−7.6

−14.9–+0.2

0.056

2000

1996–2000

−7.6

−12.3– −2.7

0.005

 2007

1999–2007

+2.7

+0.9–+4.5

0.006

2006

2001–2006

+3.4

−0.3–+7.2

0.071

 

2008–2013

−5.0

−7.6– −2.4

0.001

 

2007–2013

−5.3

−7.4– −3.3

<0.001

CHD mortality

 1994

1985–1994

+4.3

+2.9–+5.8

<0.001

1995

1985–1995

+3.1

+1.6–+4.7

0.001

 1998

1995–1998

−11.1

−17.6– −4.0

0.005

1999

1996–1999

−15.2

−23.1– −6.4

0.002

 2006

1999–2006

+2.3

+0.5–+4.0

0.01

2006

2000–2006

+4.4

+1.0–+7.9

0.014

 

2007–2013

−4.0

−5.9– −2.0

0.001

 

2007–2013

−4.9

−7.4– −2.4

0.001

Mortality from malignant neoplasms

 1993

1985–1993

+2.1

+1.3–+2.8

<0.001

1994

1985–1994

+0.5

−0.5–+1.6

0.313

 2002

1993–2002

−1.8

−2.5– −1.0

<0.001

 

1995–2013

−0.9

−1.2– −0.5

<0.001

 2007

2003–2007

+0.7

−1.5–+2.9

0.513

     
 

2008–2013

−2.9

−4.0– −1.8

<0.001

     
  1. Abbreviations: APC annual percent change, CI confidence interval