Table 6 Base case cost-effectiveness estimates for medicinal poisonings (cost-effectiveness) model
Intervention | Expected benefits (Poison cases)a | Expected Costs (£)a | Incremental benefits (Poisoning avoided) a | Incremental Costs (£)a | ICER (£/Poisoning avoided) | Probability intervention is cost-effective at £30,000/QALY | Probability intervention is cost-effective at £50,000/QALY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC | 5.622 (4.988, 6.362) | 3617 (2372, 5398) | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||
E | 5.163 (4.422, 6.073) | 4937 (3737, 6606) | 0.453 (0.246, 0.617) | 1316 (1165, 1424) | 2888 (1990, 5774) | 0.811 | 0.6885 |
FE | 5.142 (4.398, 6.071) | 5777 (4554, 7452) | 0.472 (0.251, 0.632) | 2155 (1969, 2307) | 4553 (3284, 8892) | 0.181 | 0.279 |
E + FE | 5.137 (4.398, 6.056) | 6587 (5352, 8254) | 0.479 (0.274, 0.64) | 2973 (2749, 3172) | 6195 (4519, 11030) | 0.007 | 0.0315 |
E + FE + HSI | 5.176 (4.429, 6.105) | 8541 (7248, 10250) | 0.443 (0.219, 0.616) | 4926 (4576, 5261) | Dominated | 0.000 | 0.000 |
E + FE + F | 5.168 (4.421, 6.076) | 8178 (6899, 9895) | 0.449 (0.24, 0.627) | 4566 (4243, 4878) | Dominated | 0.000 | 0.000 |
E + FE + HSI + F | 5.148 (4.401, 6.071) | 8998 (7691, 10740) | 0.468 (0.259, 0.634) | 5382 (4999, 5747) | Dominated | 0.000 | 0.000 |