Base case value | Lower limit | Upper limit | Distribution for PSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Incidence rates (yearly) | ||||
CHD 33–34 | 0.0035 % | 0.0017 % | 0.0059 % | Beta |
CHD 35–44 | 0.0465 % | 0.0391 % | 0.0546 % | Beta |
CHD 45–54 | 0.2095 % | 0.1933 % | 0.2263 % | Beta |
CHD 55–65 | 0.6310 % | 0.6028 % | 0.6599 % | Beta |
CHD 65–74 | 0.9700 % | 0.9350 % | 1.0056 % | Beta |
CHD 75–81 | 0.9700 % | 0.9350 % | 1.0056 % | Beta |
Stroke 33–34 | 0.0080 % | 0.0035 % | 0.0142 % | Beta |
Stroke 35–44 | 0.0230 % | 0.0148 % | 0.0330 % | Beta |
Stroke 45–54 | 0.0570 % | 0.0435 % | 0.0723 % | Beta |
Stroke 55–65 | 0.2910 % | 0.2593 % | 0.3245 % | Beta |
Stroke 65–74 | 0.6900 % | 0.6408 % | 0.7410 % | Beta |
Stroke 75–81 | 1.4340 % | 1.3630 % | 1.5068 % | Beta |
Diabetes 33–39 | 0.0090 % | 0.0077 % | 0.0104 % | Beta |
Diabetes 40–49 | 0.0280 % | 0.0257 % | 0.0305 % | Beta |
Diabetes 50–59 | 0.0632 % | 0.0596 % | 0.0669 % | Beta |
Diabetes 60–69 | 0.1005 % | 0.0959 % | 0.1051 % | Beta |
Diabetes 70–79 | 0.1116 % | 0.1068 % | 0.1164 % | Beta |
Diabetes 80–81 | 0.1116 % | 0.1068 % | 0.1164 % | Beta |
Probability of event being fatal | ||||
CHD fatal 33–34 | 8.77 % | 7.130 % | 10.566 % | Beta |
CHD fatal 35–44 | 8.77 % | 7.130 % | 10.566 % | Beta |
CHD fatal 45–54 | 8.77 % | 7.130 % | 10.566 % | Beta |
CHD fatal 55–65 | 11.55 % | 9.386 % | 13.910 % | Beta |
CHD fatal 65–74 | 21.07 % | 17.087 % | 25.336 % | Beta |
CHD fatal 75–81 | 14.76 % | 11.988 % | 17.769 % | Beta |
Stroke fatal 33–34 | 23.46 % | 19.024 % | 28.212 % | Beta |
Stroke fatal 35–44 | 23.46 % | 19.024 % | 28.212 % | Beta |
Stroke fatal 45–54 | 23.46 % | 19.024 % | 28.212 % | Beta |
Stroke fatal 55–65 | 23.28 % | 18.876 % | 27.991 % | Beta |
Stroke fatal 65–74 | 23.47 % | 19.026 % | 28.215 % | Beta |
Stroke fatal 75–81 | 23.42 % | 18.989 % | 28.160 % | Beta |
Utility weights in low activity but healthy population | ||||
Age 33–44 | 0.90 | 0.880 | 0.919 | Beta |
Age 45–54 | 0.86 | 0.840 | 0.879 | Beta |
Age 55–64 | 0.82 | 0.800 | 0.839 | Beta |
Age 65–74 | 0.78 | 0.760 | 0.799 | Beta |
Age 75+ | 0.72 | 0.700 | 0.739 | Beta |