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Table 2 Comparison of best practice risk-factor exposure and reference scenario across all countriesa. Difference in disease cases by disease and by persons with at least one disease in projection year ten and cumulative number of deaths postponed as calculated by the difference in individuals alive between the scenarios by sex and risk-factor

From: Potential health gains and health losses in eleven EU countries attainable through feasible prevalences of the life-style related risk factors alcohol, BMI, and smoking: a quantitative health impact assessment

 

Males

Females

 

Alcohol

BMI

Smoking

Alcohol

BMI

Smoking

Breast cancer

n/a

n/a

n/a

−44,650

−46,250

18,100

Colorectal cancer

−40,050

−20,200

10,250

−8,150

−8,750

6,050

COPD

2,700

2,400

−154,600

3,900

3,850

−291,550

Diabetes

−232,600

−481,800

46,750

82,900

−924,550

34,150

Esophageal cancer

−8,350

50

−4,650

−1,550

50

−3,350

IHD

−89,400

−244,900

−189,600

113,500

−304,550

−147,750

Lung cancer

500

16,900

−52,450

350

8,800

−34,750

Oral cancer

−49,000

12,150

−32,900

−10,300

5,200

−8,650

Stroke

−126,950

−86,750

−148,750

103,900

−147,500

−124,000

At least one of the above diseases

−399,800

−595,650

−342,800

157,650

−1,075,200

−349,300

Deaths postponedb

93,750

57,500

332,950

134,050

129,750

274,200

  1. aWithout data for Poland for to allow comparison
  2. bCalculated as the difference in population size between the respective scenario if migration is zero and number of birth constant