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Table 3 Total-effect index for each source of variability, for the time periods 1986–2005, 2026–2045 and 2081-2100

From: Projected heat-related mortality under climate change in the metropolitan area of Skopje

Source

1986–2005

2026–2045

2081–2100

Heat-mortality curve

27.8 %

39.3 %

40.3 %

Inter-annual variability

80.4 %

57.6 %

27.6 %

Climate model

-

44.6 %

46.6 %

Population model

-

0.9 %

6.8 %