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Table 1 Results from the future excess fraction method estimating the lifetime risk of mesothelioma (2012 to 2094) in the Australian working population exposed to asbestos in the year 2012

From: The future excess fraction model for calculating burden of disease

  Males Females
Proportion of working age population exposed to asbestos in 2012 [11] 0.0347 0.0004
Number of working age people in 2012 exposed to asbestos 253 110 2757
Lifetime risk in the 2012 working age population (LRp) 0.3 % 0.1 %
Total number of mesotheliomas in the 2012 population until 2094 (Dp) 23,819 10,679
Lifetime excess risk of mesothelioma for those exposed to asbestos in 2012 (LRx) 4.26 % 3.34 %
Future number of mesotheliomas in the working age population due to occupational asbestos exposure in 2012 (FEN) 7549 22
Fraction of future mesotheliomas in the working age population due to occupational exposure in 2012 (FEF) 0.317 0.002