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Table 1 Results from the future excess fraction method estimating the lifetime risk of mesothelioma (2012 to 2094) in the Australian working population exposed to asbestos in the year 2012

From: The future excess fraction model for calculating burden of disease

 

Males

Females

Proportion of working age population exposed to asbestos in 2012 [11]

0.0347

0.0004

Number of working age people in 2012 exposed to asbestos

253 110

2757

Lifetime risk in the 2012 working age population (LRp)

0.3 %

0.1 %

Total number of mesotheliomas in the 2012 population until 2094 (Dp)

23,819

10,679

Lifetime excess risk of mesothelioma for those exposed to asbestos in 2012 (LRx)

4.26 %

3.34 %

Future number of mesotheliomas in the working age population due to occupational asbestos exposure in 2012 (FEN)

7549

22

Fraction of future mesotheliomas in the working age population due to occupational exposure in 2012 (FEF)

0.317

0.002