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Table 7 Gain in Average Life Expectancy (ALE) Amongst Smokers in the Population Under Various Smoking Reduction Scenarios (study period 2012-13)

From: Improvements in life expectancy among Australians due to reductions in smoking: Results from a risk percentiles approach

Scenario

Gain in ALE relative to base scenario (95 % CI)

 

Men

Women

Base scenario

-

-

0 % prevalence <30 years

0.63(-0.66,1.72)

0.85 (0.79,0.91)

10 % prevalence <30 years

0.43 (0.39,0.47)

0.73 (0.61, 0.91)

0 % prevalence <40 years

1.63(1.46,1.75)

1.82 (1.61,1.93)

10 % prevalence <40 years

1.06 (1.02, 1.10)

1.12 (0.96, 1.18)

0 % prevalence <50 years

2.61 (2.48, 2.70)

2.84 (2.66, 2.96)

10 % prevalence <50 years

1.52 (1.44, 1.57)

1.54 (1.42, 1.66)

0 % prevalence <60 years

3.40 (2.85, 3.77)

3.74 (3.24, 4.32)

10 % prevalence <60 years

1.84 (1.79, 1.93)

1.84 (1.71, 1.97)

0 % prevalence <70 years

4.03 (3.83, 4.23)

4.52 (4.25, 4.94)

10 % prevalence <70 years

2.02 (0.49, 4.03)

1.99 (1.85, 2.12)

0 % prevalence <80 years

4.46 (4.19, 4.67)

5.27 (5.20, 5.35)

10 % prevalence <80 years

2.04 (0.63, 3.46)

2.00 (1.86, 2.15)

10 % prevalence in entire population

2.08 (1.92,2.30)

2.05 (-0.23, 4.48)

0 % prevalence in entire population

4.59 (3.84,5.34)

5.55 (5.47,5.62)