# Table 4 Structural equation models for yearly AMI and BKC rates between 2002 and 2007. Parameter estimates and p-values

Parameters and fit indexes AMI < = > BKC AMI = > BKC BKC = > AMI No γ
AMI BKC AMI BKC AMI BKC AMI BKC
Regression coefficients
Autoregression (β) .89 (<.01) .89 (<.01) .91 (<.01) .89 (<.01) .89 (<.01) .91 (<.01) .91 (<.01) .91 (<.01)
Cross-lag (γ) .015 (.02) .07 (<.01) - .07 (<.01) .014 (.03) - - -
Education (αe) −.43 (<.01) −.56 (<.01) −.43 (<.01) −.57 (<.01) −.43 (<.01) −.56 (<.01) −.43 (<.01) −.57 (<.01)
Material wealth (αw) −.09 (<.01) −.74 (<.01) −.1 (<.01) −.74 (<.01) −.09 (<.01) −.75 (<.01) −.09 (<.01) −.74 (<.01)
Working-age population (αa) −.57 (<.01) −.14 (<.01) −.57 (<.01) −.13 (<.01) −.58 (<.01) −.14 (<.01) −.58 (<.01) −.13 (<.01)
Variances
2002 factors (σ2 1) .47 1.36 .46 1.36 .47 1.34 .46 1.36
Disturbance 2003–2007 (σ2 d) .06 .36 .05 .36 .06 .35 .05 .35
Measurement error 2002 (σ2 e1) .43 .37 .44 .38 .42 .39 .44 .39
Measurement errors 2003–2007 (σ2 e) .41 .53 .41 .53 .41 .55 .41 .55
Covariances
2002 factors (ρmb1) .29 (<.01) .30 (<.01) .30 (<.01) .32 (<.01)
Disturbances 2003–2007 (ρmb) −.008 (.31) −.001 (.87) .002 (.81) .008 (.24)
Goodness of fit
Parameters 26 25 25 24
Degrees of freedom 94 95 95 96
Chi-square 479.3 484.7 489.6 494.6
RMSEA .0596 .0596 .06 .06
CFI .968 .967 .967 .967
AIC 531.3 534.7 539.6 542.6
Fit changes
ΔΧ2/Δdf na 5.4/1 10.3/1 15.3/2
na 4.9/0 9.9/1
na na 5/1