Fig. 7

Results intervening on sick leave intensities. Comparing predicted (left panel) and counterfactual (right panel) state transition probabilities for a selected set of covariates: Married male aged 45 in a service job, with no agreement on a more inclusive working life, income below NOK 300 000, no higher education, with a high to medium working ability score and musculoskeletal diagnosis. In the counterfactual scenario all transitions into sick leave have been blocked and routed into partial sick leave