Is population structure sufficient to generate area-level inequalities in influenza rates? An examination using agent-based models

Table 1 Observed and predicted hospitalization rates/100,000 adults. Observed rates in New Haven County between Aug 2009 and Aug 2010, predicted hospitalization rate in each poverty category from our simulation and predicted rates after accounting for asthma prevalence rates are shown

% Population living below federal poverty line	Observed	Simulation	Sim + Asthma Prevalence^b
% Population living below federal poverty line	2009–10 Hospitalization Rate/100,000 (RR)^a	Predicted Hospitalization Rate/100,000 (RR)^a	Predicted Hospitalization Rate/100,000 (RR)^a
0–4.9 %	20.91 (1.00)	22.16 (1.00)	24.89 (1.00)
5–9.9 %	29.99 (1.43)	26.50 (1.20)	29.83 (1.20)
10–19.9 %	30.25 (1.45)	29.82 (1.35)	33.70 (1.35)
> = 20 %	59.39 (2.84)	35.79 (1.61)	40.87 (1.64)

^aRR Rate Ratio
^bHospitalization rates estimated from simulated attack rates taking into account asthma prevalence by poverty level

ISSN: 1471-2458